Florida Gators vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

Florida Gators vs. Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: December 6, 9:00 pm
Location: Madison Square Garden
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Duke -7.5
Total: 145

<p>
The 21st ranked Florida Gators face the 5th ranked Duke Blue Devils in a non-conference game that will be held at the neutral site of Madison Square Garden in New York, New York at 9 PM ET. Florida has won seven of their first eight games on the season and they have covered the spread in four of the six games that have had a posted line. Duke has won eight of their first nine games and they have covered the four of the eight games that have had a posted line.
</p>
<p>
Florida is coming off a 91-60 blowout win over North Florida in their last game, which did not have a posted line. Previous to that game the Gators had covered the spread in three of four games. They have an over/under record of 2-4 this season and while the total went over in their last game that had a line the previous two games both went under. The Gators have won two in a row since suffering their first loss of the season facing a ranked Gonzaga team.
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<p>
Duke is also coming off a blowout win in their last game, as they beat Maine 94-55 where they covered the 37-point betting line. The total number of points scored in the game was 199, which was under the closing line of 149.5. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in two of their last three games and in those games the total went under both times. Duke has won six in a row since their only loss of the season to a top 10 Kansas team.
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<p>
Offensively, Florida is putting up 77 points per game on a 44% FG average. On defense they are allowing 63.6 points per game on a 40.5% FG average.
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<p>
Duke is putting up 85.7 points per game on a 49% FG average. The Blue Devils are allowing 63.2 points per game on 39.6% shooting.
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<p>
These teams have not met since the 2000 season in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 where Florida beat Duke 87-78.
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<h2>
Florida vs. Duke Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
The Gators are 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games.
</li>
<li>
Duke is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 6 of Duke’s last 7 games.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCCAB matchup between Florida and Duke the public is heavily leaning to the Blue Devils to cover the 7 point spread with 81%, on the over/under it appears the public bettors are also leaning heavily to this game going over the posted total of 145.
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Florida Gators vs. Duke Blue Devils Prediction

The Blue Devils haven’t scored fewer than 75 points in a game this season and are unlikely to do so this week against a Florida team that allowed Gonzaga and Seton Hall to shoot a just under a combined 50%. The Gators have put up 77 points per game in their first 8 games, but didn’t shoot well against Zaga’s quality defense and meet another one tonight. We’re not getting the best of the line right now, but the value is still with Duke.

Free Pick: Take the Duke Blue Devils -7.5
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