Dayton Flyers at Duquesne Dukes Free NCAAB Picks - Odds and Predictions

Dayton Flyers at Duquesne Dukes Free NCAAB Picks - Odds and Predictions

Keith F
Date: December 30, 4:00 pm
Location: Pittsburgh
TV: Fox Sports

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Duquesne +3.5
Total: 136

<p>
The Dayton Flyers will head to the Steel City to take on the Duquesne Dukes for a pivotal Atlantic 10 battle. The affair will take place on Saturday, December 30th, 2017 with a scheduled tip-off time of 4:00 PM ET. The contest will be aired on FOX Sports Ohio. For the Dukes in particular, this one has significance albeit the Flyers have won nine of the last ten meetings between both sides. Duquesne has made notable strides in continuing to progress their program, a staple of success would be knocking off one of the conference’s heavyweights. In the last meeting between the two, Dayton covered a 17-point line and defeated the Dukes 90-53 at home last February.
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<h2>
Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Dayton Flyers, 6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS<br />
Duquesne Dukes, 9-4 SU, 2-3 ATS
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<h2>
Dayton at Duquesne Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Dayton is 0-2 SU on the road this season.
</li>
<li>
Duquesne is 8-2 SU at home this season.
</li>
<li>
Duquesne is 3-9-1 ATS in their previous thirteen matches against Atlantic 10 opposition.
</li>
<li>
Over is 11-1 ATS in the last twelve Dayton Atlantic 10 fixtures.
</li>
</ul>
<p>
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<h2>
Public Money<br />
</h2>
<p>
From the get-go, the public has been all over the Flyers. 72% of the cash action has come in on Dayton. In spite of this, the market has not moved to reflect this early lean. In Over/Under markets, the figure has risen by 1.5 points to its current station of 136. This unfolding of events reflects early steam on the Over.
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Dayton Flyers at Duquesne Dukes Prediction

When you back Dayton in a conference match you can expect to pay a premium as they are one of the most recognized names in the Atlantic-10. Furthermore, Dayton is regarded as a perennial contender for March Madness when it concerns mid-major programs. After all, the Flyers have made four consecutive appearances in the Men’s Basketball Tournament and are back-to-back regular season champions of the Atlantic 10. Duquesne has made only five Men’s Basketball Tournament appearances in program history and has not been to the big dance in 40 years. Though Duquesne has the better record and hosting the match, all of the aforementioned historical anecdotes make Dayton a popular public choice by virtue of a recency bias alone.

The fact remains though that home court advantage is a big part of the college hoops game. Dayton is winless in its two trips on the road this year whilst the Dukes have won their last six at home. When you couple this with the fact Duquesne is the more physical team on the boards, commits less turnovers, and has a deeper bench compared to Dayton, the scenario has all the makings for Duquesne to not only cover here but orchestrate an outright upset.

Free Pick: Take Duquesne +3.5
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