Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays Odds Analysis - Pick ATS

Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays Odds Analysis - Pick ATS

Cliff Knox
Date: January 11, 9:00 pm
Location: CenturyLink Center
TV: FS1

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Creighton -4.5
Total: 152.5

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The 8th ranked Creighton Bluejays host the 12th ranked Butler Bulldogs in a Big East game that will take place at the CenturyLink Center Omaha in Omaha, Nebraska at 9 PM ET. Butler has won 14 of their 16 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 10 of the 14 games that have had a posted line. Creighton has won 15 of their 16 games and they have covered the spread in 11 of the 15 games that have had a posted line.
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Butler is coming off an 85-76 OT win over Georgetown in their last game where they covered the 2.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 161, which was over the closing line of 147.5. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in their last three games and in their last four games they have an over/under record of 2-1-1. Butler has won three straight games since suffering their 2nd loss of the season against St. John’s.
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Creighton is coming off a 78-64 win over Providence in their last game where they covered the 5.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 142, which was under the closing line of 149. The Bluejays have covered the spread in four of their last five games, including their last two, and in their last three games the total has gone under every time. Creighton has won two straight games after suffering their first loss of the season facing top-ranked Villanova.
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Offensively, Butler is putting up 77.7 points per game on a 48.8% FG average, which ranks 19th in the nation. On defense the Bulldogs are allowing 64.9 points per game on a 42.1% FG average.
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Creighton is putting up 87.5 points per game, which ranks 11th in the nation, on a 53.7% FG average, which ranks 1st in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball the Bluejays are allowing 72 points per game on a 42.7% FG average.
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Last season these teams split the two games facing each other with each winning at home.
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Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays Prediction

I could make an argument for both teams covering the spread, but the number on board for the total of this game offers the most value. Butler has been held to under 70 regulation points in two of their last nine games and will face a Creighton defense that has not be impressive this allowing 75.2 points per game. They’re scoring defense has better numbers at home, but that’s more to do with the competition. The Bluejays have no problem scoring anywhere shooting a ridiculous 53.4 from the field. They’ve managed 77 or more points per game in all but one game this season and that came against Nova’s top defensive unit.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 153
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