Austin Peay Governors at Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks NCAAB Prediction

Austin Peay Governors at Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks NCAAB Prediction

Keith F
Date: February 1, 8:30 pm
Location: Skyhawk Arena
TV: OVC Digital Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Austin Peay -1.5
Total: 141.5

<p>
The Austin Peay Governors and the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks will lock horns in an Ohio Valley Conference clash that will take place on Thursday, February 1, 2018. The scheduled tip-off time is 8:30 PM ET. The contest can be broadcasted on the Ohio Valley Conference Digital Network. These two teams have shared a competitive and well-balanced conference series. Each contestant has won two of the previous four contests between the two sides. Most recently, Austin Peay took care of business at home to start of January with a 75-69 win against UTM. The home team has won the last two meetings.
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<p>
Both teams enter this match-up on five days of rest. However, the two outfits enter on differing notes. Austin Peay comes in on a two-game winning streak whilst Tennessee Martin enters on a more somber note. The Skyhawks fell against arch rival Tennessee Tech by a score of 63-55 on the road in their most recent endeavor. The Skyhawks have played four consecutive road games and assuredly are looking forward to getting their feet back at home.
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<h2>
Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records<br />
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<p>
Austin Peay Governors, 12-10 SU, 10-8 ATS<br />
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks, 8-15 SU, 9-8 ATS
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<h2>
Austin Peay at Tennessee Martin NCAAB Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Tennessee-Martin is 5-4 SU at home this season.
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<li>
Austin Peay is 1-8 on the road this season.
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Austin Peay is 2-6 ATS in their last eight fixtures against OVC opposition.
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<li>
Over is 19-7-1 ATS in their previous 26 contests.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money<br />
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<p>
Out of the gate, we have seen a lean by the public on the Skyhawks. Despite this, the line has remained idle at its current asking price. A nominal amount of action has come in on Tennessee-Martin as 100% of the cash and tickets have been placed on the Skyhawks. In Over/Under markets, the figure has moved upward by 1.5 points to indicate heavy steam on the Over. Additionally, we have also seen a Money Line market emerge in this contest. Currently, Austin Peay is priced as a -130 favorite compared to UTM who enter as a home dog at evens or +100.
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Austin Peay Governors at Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks ATS Prediction

We stress the importance of home court advantage in the college hoops game. For Austin Peay, travelling away from home is a very arduous task. Thus, despite the Governors owning a far better record than Tennessee-Martin they are priced as a small favorite. This resonates with us given the fact the Governors have won their last two contests by convincing margins. The details reveal that the market has little faith Austin Peay can sustain their success in a less accommodating environment. What this sets up is a prime fade target. Once again, we will go ahead and trade the bucket to reduce the vig. Tennessee-Martin on the Money Line is the play.

Free Pick: Take Tennessee-Martin +100
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