Arkansas State Red Wolves at Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans Odds Analysis - Free Pick Against the Spread

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans Odds Analysis - Free Pick Against the Spread

Keith F
Date: January 14, 7:00 pm
Location: Jack Stephens Center
TV: Local

Betting Odds

Point Spread: ARSU +2.5/UALR -2.5
Total: 132

<p><i>Arkansas State Red Wolves at University of Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans<br />
</i>
<p>A collision of cross-state foes for conference credentials is what is on top in Little Rock, Arkansas when the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-6) face off with the University of Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (11-6). The game will be showcased on KATV for regional audiences with a scheduled tip-off of 7:00 PM ET.
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<h2>Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records:</h2>
<p>Arkansas State Red Wolves 11-6 SU, 8-4 ATS<br><br />
University of Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans 11-6 SU, 4-8 ATS</p>
<h2>Key Betting Trends: </h2>
<ul>
<li>Little Rock is 6-2 SU at home this season.</li>
<li>Arkansas State has lost their previous two fixtures overall.</li>
<li>Ark-Little Rock won the most recent meeting between the two.</li>
<li>Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the previous six.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Arkansas State at Arkansas-Little Rock Public Money:</h2>
<p>So far there has been a tremendous lean on Little Rock spotting the points as the road dog Arkansas State, as an incredulous 98% like the Trojans. This market opened as a Pick-Em, but as a result of a 2.5-point line movement, the Red Wolves can now take back points. Additionally, taking back points with Ark State requires juice at -115 compared to affably priced Trojans who sit at -105 spotting the points. In Over/Under markets the market is idle at 132, indicating no significant action on either option.
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans Prediction

Given the fact that Little Rock gets this game at home and perhaps most prevailing and compelling of all, the Trojans are the sitting Sun Belt Conference Champion, a 30-game winner in the 2015-16 campaign and author of the upset of a #5 seed Purdue in the first round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, the Trojans may seem to be a sexier pick from first glance. Though the two teams have identical records, the Red Wolves have played a much stronger compared to that of the Trojans, even more so in out-of-conference applications. Little Rock has benefitted from some good calls and thus the records are not truly reflective of the quality of each team. The Red Wolves are a dangerous team to overlook, as this is a team that beat Georgetown, Tennessee-Martin and Chattanooga on the road. In some of these contests, the take back in terms of points for the Red Wolves was enormous and showcases how undervalued this team can truly be. Contrarily, the Trojans have been overvalued all season long and this scenario sets them up for yet another let down. The Red Wolves are once again in a great spot to be a live dog and defeat their arch rival on their own court. Tremendous value on the Red Wolves.

Free Pick: Take Arkansas State +2.5 (-115) KF
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