Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Odds & Free Pick

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Odds & Free Pick

Joe
Date: April 16, 1:00 pm
Location: American Airlines Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: UTA -4.5/DAL +4.5
Moneyline: Jazz -185/ Mavs 154
Total: 214.5

<p>The Dallas Mavericks host the Utah Jazz in a Wester-Conference playoff matchup. The line shot up to as high as Utah -4.5 but has fallen off to -4 on some boards with the total line sliding to 214.5. Tip-off is set for 01:00 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.</p>
<h2>Probable Starting Lineups</h2>
<p><b>Jazz</b> PG Mike Conley, SG Donovan Mitchess, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O'Neale, C Rudy Gobert</br><br />
<b>Mavericks</b> PG Jalen Brunson, SG , SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell</p>
<h2>Key Injuries</h2>
<p><b> Utah Jazz </b><br />
Trent Forrest: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)<br />
Donovan Mitchell: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)<br />
Udoka Azubuike: Ankle (OUT)</p>
<p><b> Dallas Mavericks </b><br />
Luka Doncic: Calf (OUT)<br />
Maxi Kleber: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)<br />
Frank Ntilikina: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)<br />
Sterling Brown: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)<br />
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)</p>
<h2>Recent Form</h2>
<p>The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 49-33, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Utah has struggled in their 41 road contests, sitting at 20-21. Over their last five games, the Jazz have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Utah's offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 116.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazz's last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. Utah comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 104.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 107.6. In the Utah Jazz' most recent game, Utah took down Portland by a score of 111-80</p>
<p>The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 52-30, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 29-12. The Mavericks have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Dallas is averaging 122.0 points per game, 14.0 points more than their season average of 108.0. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. Even though the Mavericks have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 112.0 points per game, up from Dallas's usual rate of 104.7. In the Dallas Mavericks' most recent game, Dallas took down San Antonio by a score of 130-120.</p>
<h2>Individual Player Analysis</h2>
<p>As Utah travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Jazz' leading scorer is Donovan Mitchell. However, keep an eye on the injury report leading up to the game, as he is questionable with an illness. Through 68 games, Mitchell is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 59.0% of his games. Against the Mavericks, Mitchell will need to be on top of his game as Dallas is allowing their opponent's top scorer to surpass their average in 46.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, the Mavericks will be relying more heavily on Jalen Brunson and his 16.3 points per game, as Luca Doncic has been ruled out with a calf injury. However, Brunson will be facing off against a Jazz defense that has been tough on their opponent's top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 29.69%. This figure is good for a rank of 0th in the league.</p>
<h2>Matchup Analysis</h2>
<p> The Jazz come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 113.0 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Utah is winning at a rate of 46%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Mavericks hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 33 games as the better defensive team, picking up 24 wins (73%).</p>
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<span style="font-size:14px;"><span style="color:#008000;"><span style="background-color:#ffffff;">Get more details:</span></span> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nba/matchup/1650526">Utah at Dallas 4/16/22 Betting Stats</a></span>
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<h2>The Historicals</h2>
<p>Heading into today's matchup, the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 4 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 114-100 win.</p>
<h2>How the Public is Betting the Jazz vs Mavericks</h2>
<p>67% are betting the Jazz against the spread.<br></p>
<p>52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 214.5</p>
<h2>Betting Trends Worth Noting</h2>
<ul>
<li>Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.</li>
<li>Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite.</li>
<li>Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.</li>
<li>Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.</li>
</ul>

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Prediction ATS

In the 4/5 matchup of the Western Conference playoffs, the Utah Jazz enter as 4.5 point favorites on the road as Mavs point guard Luka Doncic is out with a calf strain. Despite being the higher seed and winners of their past 4 games, Dallas will be facing an uphill battle, as Doncic provides scoring, distributing, and rebounding at an elite level. Look for Utah to capitalize on his absence, as they already held a significant advantage on the boards, ranking 3rd in rebounds per game. In addition, the Jazz are one of the best team's in the NBA at defending the paint, giving up just 45 points per game inside. Look for the Jazz to pick up the road win and take the 1-0 lead in the series.

Free Pick: Take Utah -4.5
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