Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Point Spread - Free Pick

Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Point Spread - Free Pick

Joe
Date: March 6, 7:30 pm
Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
TV: NBA TV

Betting Odds

Point Spread: TOR +4.5/CLE -4.5
Moneyline: Raptors +165/Cavs -200
Total: 209.5

<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Toronto Raptors in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.</p>
<h2>Probable Starting Lineups</h2>
<p><b>Toronto Raptors</b> PG Fred VanVleet Q, SG Gary Trent, SF Scottie Barnes, PF Pascal Siakam, C Khem Birch</br></p>
<p><b>Cleveland Cavaliers</b> PG Darius Garland, SG Isaac Okoro, SF Lauri Markkanen, PF Evan Mobley, C Jarrett Allen</p>
<h2>Key Injuries</h2>
<p><b> Raptors </b></p>
<p>OG Anunoby: finger (OUT) David Johnson: knee (QUESTIONABLE) D.J. Wilson: knee (QUESTIONABLE): knee (QUESTIONABLE) Fred VanVleet</p>
<p><b> Cavaliers </b></p>
<p>Caris LeVert: foot (OUT) Rajon Rondo: toe (OUT) Collin Sexton: knee (OUT)</p>
<h2>Recent Form</h2>
<p>The Toronto Raptors come into this game with an overall record of 34-29, placing them 7th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Toronto is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 17-14. Over the Raptors' last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Toronto's offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 109.0 points per game. Combined, the Raptors' last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Raptors are allowing an average of 109.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 107.3.In the Toronto Raptors' most recent game, the team fell to Orlando by a score of 103-97.</p>
<p>The Cleveland Cavaliers come into this game with an overall record of 36-27, placing them 6th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Cleveland is above .500 at home, holding a record of 19-11. Over the Cavaliers' last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. In this stretch, Cleveland's offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Cavaliers' last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Cavaliers' recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 113.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 103.3. In the Cleveland Cavaliers' most recent game, the team fell to Philadelphia by a score of 125-119.</p>
<h2>Individual Player Analysis</h2>
<p>As Toronto travels to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Raptors' leading scorer is Pascal Siakam. Through 50 games, Siakam is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 44.0% of his games. Against the Cavaliers, Siakam will need to be on top of his game as Cleveland is allowing their opponent's top scorer to surpass their average in 43.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Darius Garland leads the Cavaliers in scoring, averaging 20 points across his 48 games. Throughout the season, Garland has outscored his season average in 52.0% of his outings. On the season, the Raptors have allowed their opponent's top scorer to surpass their season average in 45.28% of their games, giving them a rank of 11th among NBA defenses.</p>
<h2>Matchup Analysis</h2>
<p> The Raptors come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 108.0 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Toronto is winning at a rate of 57%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 15.0 points. On the other side, the Cavaliers hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 26 games as the better defensive team, picking up 18 wins (69%).</p>
<h2>The Historicals</h2>
<p>Heading into today's matchup, the Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Cleveland picked up a 144-99 win.</p>
<h2>How the Public is Betting the Raptors vs Cavaliers</h2>
<p>67% are betting the CLE against the spread.<br></p>
<p>52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 210.0</p>
<h2>Betting Trends Worth Noting</h2>
<ul>
<li>Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.</li>
<li>Raptors are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.</li>
<li>Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.</li>
<li>Cavaliers are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS win.</li>
</ul>

Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers prediction ATS 3/6/22

With Fred VanVleet questionable for the Raptors in today's matchup, offensive production will need to be shouldered by Pascal Siakam. With the loss of VanVleet's shooting to space the floor, I believe too much pressure will be placed on Toronto to score in the paint, where they are an average team (17th in the league). Factoring in Cleveland's staunch defense and slow pace of play, I like their chances in covering the spread. Take the Cavs against the spread in this matchup.

Free Pick: Take Cleveland -4.5
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