San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA Playoff Pick - Betting Odds

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA Playoff Pick - Betting Odds

Keith F
Date: April 22, 8:00 pm
Location: FedEx Forum
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: San Antonio -3.5
Total: 185.5

<p>
<strong>Western Conference Quarterfinals – Game Four</strong>
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<p>
The Memphis Grizzlies will host the San Antonio Spurs at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee for Game Four of the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM and is to be aired for national audiences on ESPN. Memphis has now won the previous three contests in this arena against San Antonio, cutting San Antonio’s lead to 2-1 after defeating the Spurs handily on Thursday night by a score of 105-94.
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<h2>
San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Overview<br />
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<p>
Memphis won the game that it needed to win to get back in to this series and they did so impressively. The Grizzlies got out to a 22 point lead and never looked back as their defense was able to hold off a late surge by the Spurs. The Spurs three-point operations remained astounding as they hit over 40% of their treys but the Grizzlies managed to outshoot the Spurs overall hitting 50.6% on the night from the field while hitting 90% of their free throws compared to San Antonio who just hit 57%.
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<h2>
San Antonio at Memphis Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
The Grizzlies own a 44-41 record overall while posting a 42-43 mark against the spread.
</li>
<li>
San Antonio remains at 63-22 SU while they sit at 43-40-2 against the spread.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
Despite Memphis’ impressive victory, 93% of the public are taking the Spurs against the spread. In Money Line markets, San Antonio is priced as a -165 road favorite compared to Memphis who enter as a +144 home dog. 97% of the public like the Spurs on the Money Line. In the Over/Under market, the number has declined by 1.5 points to 187.5 with 90% of the consensus liking the Over.
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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

In spite of Memphis’ triumphant resurgence, it seems the public is not buying in and has written this result off as a one-off more than anything of substance or consequence. Nevertheless, the Grizzlies have now won three games in a row at the FedEx Forum against this very San Antonio team and has managed to keep them under 100 points in each of these affairs. Given the influence home court advantage can play in this series overall, this series has the makings to go the distance and require seven games to declare a winner. The market itself will not come off the number offered here and we are getting the Grizzlies at the same price we got them in Game Three if we take them on the Money Line again. Given how Memphis has played on its own court this year situationally against the Spurs there is no reason to change our strategy especially if the public is heavily leaning the other way here which often signifies some form of an overreaction. In this case it works to our advantage.

Free Pick: Take Memphis on Money Line at +144
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