San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA Picks - Betting Lines

San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA Picks - Betting Lines

Keith F
Date: April 27, 9:35 pm
Location: FedEx Forum
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: San Antonio -4
Total: 190

<p>
<strong>Western Conference Quarterfinals – Game Six</strong>
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<p>
The Memphis Grizzlies will host the San Antonio Spurs at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee for Game Six of the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:35 PM and is to be aired for viewers on FSN. Memphis has now won the previous four contests in this arena against San Antonio, equalizing the series as two games a side. San Antonio would respond with a home win on Tuesday in Game Five, extending their lead to 3-2. San Antonio as a 10.5-point home favorite would defeat the Grizzlies by a score of 116-103.
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<h2>
San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Overview<br />
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<p>
Everything went right for the Spurs in Game Five at home as they once again hit 50% of their three-point attempts in what is considered a hallmark of their game. Generally, both teams shot exceptionally well from the field as both Memphis and San Antonio hit over 51% of their field goals overall. The big difference in this contest was the Spurs’ supremacy from beyond the arc. Memphis hit an impressive 40% going 9 for 22 while the Spurs went 14 for 28. The rest is history.
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<h2>
San Antonio at Memphis Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
The Grizzlies own a 44-42 record overall while posting a 42-44 mark against the spread.
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<li>
San Antonio remains at 64-22 SU while they sit at 44-40-2 against the spread.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In the early going, we have seen 81% of the public take the Spurs against the spread. In Money Line markets, San Antonio is priced as a -171 road favorite compared to Memphis who enter as a +150 home dog. The public has taken a contrarian approach toward the spread consensus in this market as 54% like the Grizzlies on the Money Line. In the Over/Under market, the number has stayed level at 190 with 75% of the consensus liking the Over.
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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Situationally, this scenario sets up perfectly for Memphis. The Spurs have had an abysmal time in the FedEx Forum this season and they have had to rely on prolific performances from beyond the three-point line to yield some of the performances we have seen in this series that have raised eyebrows. The public has generally turned a reluctant eye yet again toward the Grizzlies despite the fact they were able to equalize this series once it went back to Music City. Without question, the Grizzlies can force a Game Seven here and the market evaluation reflects this. Despite San Antonio winning by 13 in Game Five, we see San Antonio enter here at a near identical price to what we saw in Game Three and Game Four. The price here seems to be hook-line-sinker for Spurs takers and once again we will fade what is likely yet another overreaction.

Free Pick: Take Memphis +4
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