Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets NBA Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets NBA Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Keith F
Date: December 28, 9:05 pm
Location: Pepsi Arena
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Denver -4
Total: 217

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The Denver Nuggets will host the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Pepsi Arena for a Western Conference clash. The Nugs have won their last four against Minnesota and have won five of their previous six overall against the T-Wolves. Both teams come off wins against respected opponents as the Wolves took down Atlanta in the Target Center while Denver traveled to Lob City to upset the Los Angeles Clippers 106-102. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:05 PM and to be broadcasted regionally on TSN.
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Overview<br />
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As we have mentioned previously, both these teams come off wins that should certainly raise eyebrows as the Timberwolves and Nuggets are regarded as lower tier teams in the Western Conference. Both outfits managed to pull off victories against teams that qualified for the playoffs in the 2015-16 season.
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<h2>
Minnesota at Denver Key Betting Trends<br />
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Minnesota enters this fixture with a record of 10-21 SU while posting a 13-18 mark against the spread.
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Denver sits at 13-18 straight up but also has shown value against the spread with a mark of 16-15.
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On the year Denver has played around .500 ball at the Pepsi Arena as they are 6-8 SU.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
So far we have seen 90% of the public jump on the Timberwolves as a road dog against the spread. In Money Line markets, the T-Wolves are priced as a +155 road pooch compared to the significant favorite in this one, the Denver Nuggets offered at +175. As for the Total Line, we have seen little action move the Over/Under at this time with the market resting at 217. 64% of the public fancy the Over.
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are a team that can be exceptionally dangerous on any given night given their offensive potency. This team has a plethora of talent and while Minnesota may have plenty of weapons in their arsenal, they may not be able to quell the onslaught of Mudiay, Barton and Gallinari. The Nuggets victory at Los Angeles did not generate some form of a reaction as it normally would, by virtue of the fact Lob City was nicked up. Conversely, the Minnesota dominance of Atlanta raised plenty of eyebrows. The Clippers at one point had the best record in the NBA but that was not the team Denver faced. Blake Griffin and Chris Paul were injured and Denver faced a much lighter version of the Clippers and as a result were expected to win. Denver did so but failed to cover by half of a point. This is likely a compelling narrative in this market. In certain instances we get an opportunity to take back a short-priced favorite which in turn bodes tremendous value. The situation taking shape here with the Nuggets is exactly that and we will go ahead and dive in while we can.

Free Pick: Take Denver -4
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