Minnesota at Atlanta Odds Analysis - Free Pick - January 29 - 2018
Date:
January 29, 7:35 pm
Location:
Phillips Arena
TV:
Fox
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Atlanta +5.5
Total:
214.5
<p>
The Atlanta Hawks will host the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Phillips Arena in the ATL for a cross-conference clash. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:35 PM and scheduled to be televised on FOX. The teams have not yet met this season but it has been all Minnesota as of late. The T-Wolves have won the last four contests between both parties, going 4-0 ATS over this span. The most recent encounter in Minneapolis in December of 2016 resulted in Minnesota defeating Atlanta 104-90 despite closing as a 1.5-point underdog.
</p>
<h2>
Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks Overview<br />
</h2>
<p>
The two contestants enter this contest in differing form. Minnesota was successful in their last outing on Saturday when they defeated the Brooklyn Nets at home by a score of 111-98. As for the Hawks, the Dirty Birds of the NBA have now lost three consecutive outings. Over this span, Atlanta also lost two pivotal division matches and failed to cover the line as an underdog in all three scenarios. In two of the aforementioned losses, the Hawks lost by 25 points.
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<h2>
Minnesota at Atlanta NBA Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
On the year, the Hawks stand at 14-35 SU while also owning an economical 25-22-2 record against the spread.
</li>
<li>
The Timberwolves enter with a 32-20 SU record and also own an identical record against the spread to that of Atlanta.
</li>
<li>
The Timberwolves have shown far less value however when compared to how teams perform against the spread versus straight up.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Public Money<br />
</h2>
<p>
Out of the gate, it appears that we have seen a huge lean on Minnesota. Moreover, 94% of the cash and 92% of the tickets have come in on the T’Wolves. This is further embellished by 100% of the consensus also liking Minnesota in this spot. However, we have seen the line move downward by a point to indicate action on Atlanta from the initial tick. On the Money Line, the Timberwolves are priced as a -238 road favorite while the Hawks come into this fixture as a +193 dog. The Over/Under has risen by a point to 214.5 from the open, indicating action on the Over. 100% of the cash and 98% of the ticket action is on the Over to reinforce this narrative.
</p>
Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
Atlanta is a very hard sell right now given how they have played as of late. However, spotting road points as whole can be a very testy principle unless there is a clear-cut mismatch. The fact remains, Minnesota and Atlanta have the same ATS record. Straight up, the two teams are on the opposite ends of the spectrum. What this says to us is that Minnesota obviously has a greater propensity to be overvalued. The asking price here reflects such a scenario and the corresponding public lean indicates that an overlay is likely on the table. Take advantage of the inflated points.
Free Pick:
Take Atlanta +5.5
