Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds - Free Pick

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds - Free Pick

Joe
Date: March 1, 8:00 pm
Location: Target Center
TV: NBCS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: GSW +1/MIN -1
Total: 232.5

<p>
The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the Target Center.
</p>
<h2>
Probable Starting Lineups<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Golden State Warriors</b> PG Stephen Curry, SG Gary Payton II, SF Moses Moody, PF Andrew Wiggins, C Kevon Looney<br />
<b>Minnesota Timberwolves</b> PG Patrick Beverley, SG D'Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns
</p>
<h2>
Key Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>Warriors </b> Draymond Green: calf (OUT) Andre Iguodala: back (OUT) Klay Thompson: illness (QUESTIONABLE) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)
</p>
<p>
<b>Timberwolves </b> Malik Beasley: illness (PROBABLE) McKinley Wright IV: elbow (OUT)
</p>
<h2>
Recent Form<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 43-18, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 17-11. Over the Warriors' last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Golden State's offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 114.0 points per game. Combined, the Warriors' last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Golden State's recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 111.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 103.6. In the Golden State Warriors' most recent game, the team fell to Dallas by a score of 107-101.
</p>
<p>
The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game with an overall record of 33-29, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far, Minnesota is above .500 at home, holding a record of 18-12. The Timberwolves have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Minnesota's offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Timberwolves' last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. Even though the Timberwolves have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 118.0 points per game, up from Minnesota's usual rate of 112.3. In the Minnesota Timberwolves' most recent game, Minnesota took down Cleveland by a score of 127-122.
</p>
<h2>
Individual Player Analysis<br />
</h2>
<p>
As Golden State travels to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Warriors' leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 55 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 44.0% of his games. So far, the Timberwolves are allowing their opponent's top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.98% of their games, placing them 14th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Karl-Anthony Towns leads the Timberwolves in scoring, averaging 24 points across his 56 games. Throughout the season, Towns has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Towns will need to do so against a Warriors defense that has been tough on their opponent's top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 32.65%. This figure is good for a rank of 2nd in the league.
</p>
<h2>
Matchup Analysis<br />
</h2>
<p>
Heading into this matchup, the Golden State Warriors are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 21 of Golden State's 28 games, leading to a winning percentage of 67%. So far, the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 36 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 36 times, by an average margin of -13.0 points.
</p>
<h2>
The Historicals<br />
</h2>
<p>
Heading into today's matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 124-115 win.
</p>
<h2>
How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Timberwolves<br />
</h2>
<p>
55% are betting the Warriors against the spread.<br />
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 231
</p>
<h2>
Betting Trends Worth Noting<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
</li>
<li>
Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
</li>
<li>
Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
</li>
<li>
Timberwolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
</li>
</ul>

Joe's Pick to Cover the Spread

One of the key reasons for the Golden State Warriors' season-long success is their ability to defend. However, with injuries to Draymond Green and now Klay Thompson, the Warrior's defensive efficiency has taken a hit. Even though the Timberwolves are not an efficient offensive team, they rely on getting up and down the court to make up for their shooting woes. With the line sitting at -1 in favor of Minnesota, I see the Timberwolves picking up a win and covering the spread.

Free Pick: Take Minnesota -1
Get $60 Free Picks