Golden State Warriors at Portland Trailblazers Game 3 Pick
Date:
May 7, 8:35 pm
Location:
Moda Center
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
GS -3.5
Total:
211
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The Portland Trailblazers will host the Golden State Warriors at the Moda Center at the Rose Quarter in Portland, Oregon for Game Three of the Western Conference Semifinals. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:35 PM and is to be aired on ABC. The Blazers are reeling after once again falling behind 2-0 to the NBA's best team without the services of their MVP point guard Stephen Curry.
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<strong>Golden State vs. Portland Game 3 Overview</strong>
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The Golden State Warriors have dominated this series despite thwarting the absence of point guard Stephen Curry. Golden State has now jumped out to a 2-0 lead over Portland, winning by an average margin of 11.5 points per game with the rest of the Warriors' personnel picking up the slack.
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Portland's notoriously porous defense has allowed the NBA's best offense to do what it does best, score points. The Warriors have averaged 114 points in both their victories over Portland with shooting guard Klay Thompson emerging as the chief offensive weapon, averaging over 30 points per game in the Western Conference Semifinals, this far. Trailblazers guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum have had little difficulty scoring in their own right but it has never been enough to allow Portland to be competitive in their two defeats in Oakland.
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<strong>Key Betting Trends</strong>
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Portland has fallen to 48-42 SU, but generally what you see is what you get as they are now 47-43 ATS. The Warriors have now reached 79-10 SU. The Warriors bode value against the spread as they are 51-36. It is worth noting that in this series like many other playoff series, Portland boasts an impressive 31-13 record in Portland straight up, while Golden State has lost eight of their ten defeats on the road this year.
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<strong>Public Consensus</strong>
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81% of the public are taking Golden State against the spread. Less of the consensus are willing to take the Warriors on the Money Line, with 71% opting in. Portland is offered at +145, the Warriors require juice at -165. The Total Line market has fallen 2.5 points since its open at 213 and now sits at 210.5 with 94% of the consensus liking the over.
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Golden State Warriors at Portland Trailblazers Pick
Portland earlier this year handed Golden State a crushing defeat, when they routed the Warriors by 32 points and put up 137 points in Rip City. This shocking upset came right after the All Star break, when the Warriors were highly hyped and scrutinized. With this outcome kept in mind, the Blazers will enter this contest with nothing to lose and try to exploit a similar narrative taking shape. Rip City will likely try to duplicate that success they garnered against Golden State in February and go back to the game plan that allowed them to achieve such a feat. Portland knows they have to win this game to keep any chance of hope alive in this series and with the return of Steph Curry inching ever so closer, Portland needs to pick up wins now before it is too late. With a sense of urgency, Portland will likely throw the kitchen sink at Golden State and they have the home court advantage that may get them over the hump. We are leaning on Portland in this one.
Free Pick:
Portland +3.5 - KF
