Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 3 Betting Odds - Free Pick

Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 3 Betting Odds - Free Pick

Keith F
Date: May 22, 8:00 pm
Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena
TV: TNT

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Golden State Warriors -3
Total: 220.5

<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Golden State Warriors for Game Three of the Western Conference Finals. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:35 PM and it set to be aired on TNT. The series is now tied at 1-1 after the Warriors responded to the Thunder's shocking Game One victory with a vengeance, capsizing the Thunder 118-91 in Game Two. Game 3 betting odds opened with the Warriors a -2.5 favorite on the spread line and have remained there at most shops with more recreational shops hanging threes on the board. </p>
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<div class="heading">Golden State vs. Oklahoma City Game 3 Overview</div>
<p>Oklahoma City shocked the world when they came from behind to defeat the Golden State Warriors 108-102 in the Oracle Center in Game One. The feat was all the more imposing with consideration to the fact that Golden State had yet to lose a game in Oakland over the span of the playoffs and even more impressive with consideration to the fact two-time defending MVP Stephen Curry was at full health and fostering his usually massive workload. After the Thunder pulled off the eye-raising victory in Game One, the Warriors responded with fury and routed the Thunder by a margin of twenty-seven in their follow-up efforts. Now the series goes to Oklahoma City, where the Thunder have enjoyed much success playing on their own court all season long.</p>
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<div class="heading">Key Betting Trends</div>
<p>On the year, the Thunder are 64-31 SU but they are 36-11 SU at home. The Warriors are 82-12 SU and we would be beating a dead horse if we continued to revel in their regal level of play. Nevertheless, the Warriors have lost two games on the road in the playoffs this season already. On the year 10 of Golden State's 12 losses also came on the road. Notable assailants, include the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks, showcasing that the Warriors are susceptible to be beat by anyone when they are not within the confines of the Oracle Center.</p>
<div class="heading">Public Consensus</div>
<p>76% of the public are on the Warriors against the spread. Conversely, 54% of the consensus like the Thunder on the Money Line at 130, passing up the juice with Golden State offered at -150. For the Total Line, we have seen this one go down the middle. 52% of the consensus like the over for the Total Line market currently set at 220.5.</p>

Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder Pick

The Warriors were the benefactors of some good calls on the road in Portland in the Western Conference Semifinals. Had some of these calls gone the other way, Portland may have won twice against Golden State at the Moda Center, a place notorious for home court advantage being influential in game outcomes. At the Toyota Center, Houston stole a win against Golden State at the hands of James Harden's heroics but that is ancient history at this point. While Houston and most certainly Portland boast a significant home court advantage, the Thunder are perhaps one of the premiere franchises in the NBA that pride themselves on playing at a superior level while at home.
Golden State needed overtime to get rid of OKC on the road, in the regular season and it was once again the heroics of Stephen Curry that made the difference in that late February affair. With this being considered, the Thunder are a dangerous team at home and perhaps even more lethal when many underestimate them in the aftermath of Golden State's Game Two performance. However, we refuse to get caught up in the undertow of the Golden State hype machine. Yes, the Warriors have achieved historic accolades but nonetheless Oklahoma City at home with points is almost always "best bet" situation at this point when you consider the fact that the Thunder have lost just four games at home since February all by a margin of four points or less. We are going back on the Thunder with the points and take advantage of a friendly price for a strong home team against a volatile road favorite that is just .500 on the road through the playoffs.

Free Pick: Oklahoma City +3
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