Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: November 4, 9:00 pm
Location: Pepsi Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Warriors -8.5
Total: 229.5.

<p>
The Denver Nuggets (5-4) host the Golden State Warriors (6-3) in a Western Conference match up that will take place at the Pepsi Center in Denver, CO at 9 PM ET. The Warriors are the 8.5-point road favorite with the total sitting at 229.5.
</p>
<p>
The Warriors got a nice 112-92 road win over the San Antoniuo Spurs in their latest. Klay Thomson was the high scorer for Golden State ringing up 27 points on 11/17 shooting and hitting five of his eight 3-pointers. LeMarcus Aldridge was the high scorer for San Antonio with 24 points on 8/22 shooting and he also had 10 rebounds. The Warriors were solid on both ends of the floor in the game shooting 51.8% from the floor and holding the Spurs to 39.1% shooting. Golden State covered the spread in the game as an 8-point favorite with the total going UNDER the closing line of 218.
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<p>
The Nuggets were at home in their last game and got a narrow 95-94 win over the Miami Heat. Paul Millsap was the high scorer for Denver picking up 27 points on 9/17 shooting and he also was strong on the glass with nine rebounds. Goran Dragic was the high scorer for Miami with 23 points on 8/15 shooting. The Nuggets outscored the Heat 25-13 in the 3rd quarter to take the lead and and held on through the fourth. Overall for the game they shot 45% from the floor. The Nuggets failed to cover the spread in the game as a 5.5-point favorite with the total going well under the posted line.
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<p>
The Warriors are 4-1 on the road this season and they rank 1st in PPG, 2nd in 3-pt FG%, and 2nd in free throw percentage. On defense Golden State ranks 26th in PPG allowed, 18th in 3-pt FG% allowed, and 14th in free-throw percentage allowed.
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<p>
The Nuggets are 3-1 at home this season and they rank 16th in PPG, 6th in 3-pt FG%, and 28th in free throw percentage. On defense Denver ranks 12th in PPG allowed, 25th in 3-pt FG% allowed, and 26th in free-throw percentage allowed.
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<p>
This is the first game between these teams this season and last season the Warriors took two of three games from the Nuggets.
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<h2>
Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
The Warriors are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games.
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<li>
The Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
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<li>
The Warriors have an Over record of 12-3 in their last 15 games.
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<li>
The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
</li>
<li>
The Nuggets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.
</li>
<li>
The Nuggets have an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Golden State vs. Denver Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Warriors.
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<p>
The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Nuggets in Denver.
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<p>
In the last 52 games between these teams the Over record is 35-17.
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<p>
In the last 6 games between these teams in Denver the total has gone OVER every time.
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Warriors at Nuggets Predication ATS 11/4/2017

Golden State has covered back to back games to bring their against the spread record to 3-6, but I’m not convinced that they’ll give an all-out effort each night. The Nuggets have also been a poor bet this season, but they are 3-1 at home and the home team with the lone loss against a good Wizards team by five. Denver has covered four of the last five in this series and I’m willing to bet on them doing it again.

Free Pick: Take the Denver Nuggets + 9
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