Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs NBA Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs NBA Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Keith F
Date: January 29, 7:05 pm
Location: AT&T Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: San Antonio -13
Total: 196.5

<p>
The San Antonio Spurs will host the Dallas Mavericks at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:05 PM and is due to be aired on FSN in regional markets. San Antonio has emerged victorious in eight of their previous ten against Dallas, winning the last seven overall. The last meeting between the two in November of 2016 was tougher than expected for the Spurs, beating the Mavs by just seven points despite being favored by 8.5.
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<h2>
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Overview<br />
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The Mavericks have had a lackluster season overall. Most recently, Dallas fell on the road at Oklahoma City when they lost Thursday by a score of 109-98. As for the Spurs, they come in off yet another upset suffered at the hands of the New Orleans Hornets after an impressive road victory at Toronto. The Spurs are prone for let-downs after coming up with big wins and this seems to be an emerging trend with Coach Pop’s bunch.
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<h2>
Dallas at San Antonio Key Betting Trends<br />
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On the year the Spurs stand at a remarkable 36-10 SU with a 27-18 record against the spread.
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<li>
As for Dallas, the Mavs come in at 16-30 SU while boding a 23-23 record against the spread, showcasing they offer a bit more value against the spread than they do straight up.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In the early going, we have noticed a huge lean on the Spurs against the spread as the public are more willing to spot the points to the road pooch Dallas, as 82% like San Antonio. In Money Line markets, the Mavs offer a significant purse as they are a +1100 road dog. Contrarily, the Spurs are a -1500 home favorite. The Over/Under Line is currently offered at 196.5, with 85 % of the consensus liking the Over in this Southwestern Division rivalry.
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Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Prediction

We have seen San Antonio in this exact situation against Milwaukee, Minnesota and Phoenix. The Spurs were spotting huge points to these three teams as they are perceived as a weaker foe and opponent compared to this blue-chip franchise. Nevertheless, the Spurs with much of the public all over them would go 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. The fact that the public will continue to swallow these points in abundance curates the narrative that takers do not care for the premium associated with taking back a pedigree team like San Antonio. With this being said, the number is likely inflated and given the fact this has been a continuous issue for the Spurs, we once again have an opportunity at a quality fade. The Spurs cannot be trusted spotted points even at home, given the fact they are playing host to an arch rival looking for a feather in their cap in what has been an otherwise disappointing season.

Free Pick: Take Dallas +13 and Under 196.5
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