Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Free NBA Picks - Betting Odds

Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Free NBA Picks - Betting Odds

Keith F
Date: April 9, 6:05 pm
Location: Talking Stick Arena
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Phoenix -1
Total: 213.5

<p>
The Dallas Mavericks will head to the Desert to meet with the Phoenix Suns in a Western Conference clash set to take place at the Talking Stick Resort and Arena in Phoenix, Arizona. The scheduled tip-off time of the game is 6:05 PM ET. The game will be aired on FSN for regional audiences. Between both sides, the last four meetings between the Suns and Mavs were split down the middle as they each won two contests. The most recent affair was a 100-98 victory by the Suns over the Mavericks in Dallas on March 11th.
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<h2>
Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Overview<br />
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<p>
Both teams are out of the post-season and this contest bares little significance for either party. The Suns have a chance to own the worst record in the Western Conference and such would benefit them with snagging an excellent chance at a top draft lottery pick. Nevertheless, the Suns pulled off an impeccable 120-99 victory at home against the Oklahoma City as a nine-point pooch. The Mavericks enter off a pummeling sustained by their cross-state rival, the San Antonio Spurs.
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<h2>
Dallas at Phoenix Key Betting Trends<br />
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On the year, Dallas stands at 32-47 SU while owning a profitable 42-36 record against the spread.
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As for the Suns, they come in at 23-57 SU but they can be quite overvalued as they are just 39-40-1 record against the spread.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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<p>
In the early going we have seen a huge lean on the Suns as 99% favor Phoenix. As a result we have seen this market move by as much as 3.5 points in some cases where the Suns went from a dog to a favorite due to heavy steam pushing the line movements. At this time, Dallas enters as a -115 choice on the Money Line while Phoenix requires less juice at -105. As for the Over/Under, we have seen the market remain at 213.5 after rising by a point, indicating action on the Over in the early going. 75% of the public are in agreement as they fancy the Over.
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Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Prediction

Dallas’ offense remains a NBA-worst 30th overall in the scoring department but that can be aided by a Phoenix side that is known for an offense-first approach to the game where their defense is typically left at home. But that’s not why we like the Mavs here. The assessment of this market is what we look for in a fade: an overreaction. The Suns come in off a very impressive win in what may be one of their most impressive wins this season. Dallas was absolutely obliterated on its own court so as a result the stock on both teams has gone in opposite directions. Let’s not forget, Dallas opened with points to spot and there was a viable reason for this. Now as a result of a huge reaction from the public due to varying results of both teams, we can take the Mavs back with a point and less juice to boot. Fade the Suns.

Free Pick: Take Dallas +1
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