Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free NBA Prediction

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free NBA Prediction

Keith F
Date: November 22, 7:35 pm
Location: American Airlines Arena
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Boston -3
Total: 196.5

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The Boston Celtics will once again head down to the Sunshine State to square off with the Miami Heat in an Eastern Conference clash set to take place at the American Airlines Arena in Miami, Florida. The tip is set for 7:35 PM ET and is scheduled to be televised on FSN for regional audiences. Between both sides, the Celtics have won the last eight meetings. Most recently in October, Beantown defeated El Heat by a score of 96-90 in Miami. In the aforementioned scenario, the Celtics closed as a one-point choice.
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<h2>
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Overview<br />
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The Celtics continue to win at will but certainly endured a test at Dallas on Sunday when overtime was required to declare a victor. The Celtics would take care of business and defeat the Mavericks 110-102. The Heat enter off a heinous loss to the Indiana Pacers on Saturday where the Heat were cooled off 120-95 at home despite being favored by 5.5 points.
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<h2>
Celtics at Heat Key Betting Trends<br />
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On the year, Boston stands at 16-2 SU while posting a qualitative 15-2-1 record against the spread.
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For Miami, the Heat are 5-9-2 against the spread but sit at 7-9 in straight up affairs.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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From the early going, literally all of the money is on the Celtics in the contest. 100% of the cash, 100% of the tickets, and 100% of the consensus forums all love Boston here against the Heat. Despite this, the market has actually dropped by half of a point which speaks volumes to us as it seems sharp action may be responsible for that. In Over/Under markets, the market has also fallen by a half of a point. Despite this, 94% of the cash and 71% of the tickets are on the Over. Miami is a +140 home dog while the Celtics are priced as a -150 road favorite.
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Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Pick

We have to like Miami in this situation be that they are the better rested of the two teams and furthermore get this one at home. Furthermore, the public is more likely to get aboard Boston by virtue of a recency bias in both head-to-head and overall bodies of work. The Celtics also required additional time to dispatch their most recent opponent which sets them up here to be a fade target as well. Miami is completely off the radar be that they looked terrible in their most recent contest. Despite Boston’s dominance and Miami’s mediocrity, the market is reluctant to move with the heavy action on the Celtics. It would be bold to predict an outright upset even if the Money Line offers more value. However, Miami is an excellent choice to cover here. Look for Boston to get a scare, if nothing else.

Free Pick: Take Miami +3
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