Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - NBA Prediction

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - NBA Prediction

Keith F
Date: November 18, 7:30 pm
Location: Phillips Arena
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Boston -6.5
Total: 203

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The Boston Celtics will once again head down south to face off with the Atlanta Hawks in an Eastern Conference collision set to take place at the Phillips Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. The tip is set for 7:35 PM ET and is scheduled to be aired on FOX for regional audiences. Between both sides, the Hawks have won four of the previous six contests overall. The most recent episode in the ATL was a Boston victory when the Celtics came in and defeated the Hawks 110-107, twelve days ago.
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Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks Overview<br />
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The Hawks come in off an impressive 126-80 win against the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday where the Hawks took the Kings wire-to-gate. The Celtics continue to win and impress as they do so. The most recent exploit of the Celtics is one that is talked about across the country. As a seven-point home dog, the Celtics took down the defending NBA Champions Golden State in Beantown by a score of 92-88 on Thursday night. Boston’s notably stout defense paved the way for the signature victory.
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<h2>
Celtics at Hawks NBA Key Betting Trends<br />
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On the year, Boston stands at 14-2 SU while posting an incredible 13-2-1 record against the spread. For Atlanta, the Hawks post a far contrasting 3-12 record overall but they have proven to have some equity against the spread with a 7-7-1 on the year. The Hawks are 3-0 ATS in their last three against the Celtics.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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As would expected after a win of Boston’s magnitude, 98% of the public like the Celtics and that has been reflected in the cash action in this market. Furthermore, 95% of the tickets being booked are also with Boston. The market has moved in an opposite direction as the number has dropped by half of a point to reflect action on the Hawks. Nevertheless, 100% of the consensus like Boston in this market, as well. On the Money Line, the Hawks are a +240 home dog while the Celtics are a -258 road favorite. The Over/Under has moved by 1.5 points downward since the open, reflecting action on the Under.
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Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks Pick

Targeting overreactions is a big part of finding value. No team is prone to an overreaction now more than the Boston Celtics. Now team in all of the NBA has a higher stock than the Boston Celtics, as well. In many instances we would expect to see a recency bias given the fact Boston struggled to get by Atlanta less than two weeks ago. However, the market has opened close to where we saw Atlanta close last time and even more of the public are willing to get aboard the Celtics regardless. It is simply gluttony for punishment. In situations like this one, Boston is vulnerable not only for a let-down but to possibly lose altogether. Boston takers beware.

Free Pick: Take Atlanta +6.5
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