Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds Analysis - Free MLB Picks

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds Analysis - Free MLB Picks

The Green Man
Date: July 31, 7:10 pm
Location: Marlins Park
TV: FXFL

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Nationals -129 / Marlins +119
Total: 9ov -108

<p>On Monday’s MLB board, we have the 62-41 Washington Nationals versus the 49-54 Miami Marlins in the first game of a three-game set at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida tonight. The first pitch of the opener at Marlins Park is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.
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<p>The betting odds for the opening game have the Nationals listed as a -129 to -141 money line favorite with the total line on most boards at nine runs.
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<p>In their last game, the Nationals beat the Colorado Rockies 3-1. In the game the Nationals scored three runs on four hits and the Rockies scored one run also on four hits.
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<p>In their last game the Marlins lost to the Cincinnati Reds 6-4. In that game, the Marlins managed just four runs on five hits while the Reds scored six runs on nine hits.
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<p>This season the Nationals rank 2nd in the Majors in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.
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<p>The Marlins rank 14th in the Majors in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA. </p>
<h2>Pitching Match Up </h2>
<p>Washington: Gio Gonzalez (8-5, 2.81 ERA) <br><br />
Miami: Jose Urena (9-4, 4.04 ERA)</p>
<p>Gio Gonzalez gets the nod in the first game of this division series and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in seven innings in an 8-5 win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Nats have won two of his last three starts where he only gave up a combined two earned runs in the two wins and four earned runs in the loss. In two starts against the Marlins this season Gonzalez is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.08 and in 13 career starts against them he is 7-3 with a solid ERA of 2.09. Gonzalez is 7-3 with an ERA of 3.50 on the road this season. Washington is 5-2 in his last seven road starts, but they are only 1-4 in his last five starts after a Quality Start in his previous outing.
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<p>Jose Urena goes for the Marlins tonight and he was lit up in his last start giving up five earned runs in five innings, but to say the lineup helped him out would be an understatement in a 22-10 win over the Texas Rangers. The Marlins have won his last two starts, but in three of his last three starts he has given up five earned runs in each outing. This is Urena’s first start against the Nationals this season and in three relief appearances last season he was 1-0 with an ERA of 1.80. While the Marlins are 4-1 in Urena’s last five starts overall they have lost five of his last 18 home starts.
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<h2>Betting Angles </h2>
<p>These teams have split the six games facing each other this season. </p>
<p>In the last 28 games between these teams in Miami the Under record is 20-8.</p>
<p>This season the Marlins are 25-27 at home and the Nationals are 33-19 on the road. </p>
<h2>Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records </h2>
<p>Washington Nationals: 62-41 SU / O/U 51-48 / Run Line W/L 52-51<br><br />
Miami Marlins: 49-54 SU / O/U 55-42 / Run Line W/L 54-49</p>
<h2>Washington at Miami Key Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>WASH is 8-2 in their last 10 road games</li>
<li>WASH is 11-5 in their last 16 overall</li>
<li>WASH has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games</li>
<li>MIA is 4-1 in their last 5 overall</li>
<li>MIA is 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter</li>
<li>MIA has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games</li>
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<h3>Key Player Injuries</h3>
<p><b>NATIONALS</b><br><br />
[CF] 06/02/2017 - Adam Eaton 60-day DL (04/29) ( ACL )<br><br />
[LF] 06/06/2017 - Jayson Werth 60-day DL (06/04) ( Foot )<br><br />
[P] 06/19/2017 - Shawn Kelley 10-day DL (06/17) ( Trapezius )<br><br />
[CF] 07/07/2017 - Michael Taylor 10-day DL (07/07) ( Oblique )<br><br />
[SS] 06/29/2017 - Trea Turner 10-day DL (06/30) ( Wrist )<br><br />
[P] 07/26/2017 - Stephen Strasburg 10-day DL (07/26) ( Forearm )<br><br />
[2B] 07/29/2017 - Stephen Drew 10-day DL (07/29) ( Abdominal )<br><br />
[LF] 07/26/2017 - Ryan Raburn 10-day DL (07/22) ( Trapezius )<br><br />
[LF] 07/23/2017 - Chris Heisey 10-day DL (07/23) ( Groin )<br><br />
[P] 07/17/2017 - Koda Glover 60-day DL (06/11) ( Back )<br><br />
[P] 07/17/2017 - Joe Ross 60-day DL (07/14) ( Tricep )</p>
<p><b>MARLINS</b><br><br />
[P] 07/07/2017 - Edinson Volquez 10-day DL (07/06) ( Knee )<br><br />
[3B] 07/18/2017 - Martin Prado 10-day DL (07/18) ( Knee )<br><br />
[P] 07/29/2017 - Nick Wittgren 10-day DL (07/27) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[1B] 07/25/2017 - Justin Bour 10-day DL (07/25) ( Oblique )<br><br />
[SS] 07/25/2017 - J.T. Riddle 10-day DL (07/25) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 05/06/2017 - Wei-Yin Chen 10-day DL (05/02) ( Arm )</p>

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction July 31/2017

The Nationals had lost two in a row before a win in their last game and they have firm control of the NL East 13 games up on the 2nd place Marlins. They had given up 14 runs in losing two in a row before only allowing one in their last game. The Marlins had their four-game winning streak in their last game and they had only given up eight runs in winning three in a row before giving up six in their last game. Gonzalez is a lefty that has had success against the Marlins in his career and this season and Miami has lost seven of their last 10 games facing a left-hand starter. Urena has been one of the bright spots for the Marlins staff this season, but has been rocked for five earned runs in two of his last three starts. Gonzalez will have a 2nd straight solid outing tonight while Urena will struggle facing a potent Washington lineup that has only scored nine runs in their last three games. That lineup will break out tonight and the Nats will take this game winning their 2nd in a row and handing the Marlins their 2nd loss in a row.

Free Pick: Take the Nationals -129
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