Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Free Pick

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Date: 
June 18, 10:15 PM EDT
Location:
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Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Twins -113 / Diamondbacks +103
Total: 
9.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, June 18th at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Minnesota as the favorite (+103), with an OU line set at 9.5.

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Dylan Bundy (3-3, 5.87) Arizona: Luke Weaver (1-0, 4.91)

Twins Projected Lineup

Gio Urshela 3B Trevor Larnach LF Max Kepler RF Gary Sánchez C Jose Miranda 1B Carlos Correa SS Jorge Polanco 2B Luis Arraez 2B Byron Buxton CF Dylan Bundy P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Carson Kelly C Alek Thomas CF David Peralta LF Daulton Varsho RF Pavin Smith 1B Josh Rojas 3B Geraldo Perdomo SS Ketel Marte 2B Christian Walker 1B Luke Weaver P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 37-29-0 SU / OU 30-31-5 / Run Line W/L 30-36-0 Arizona Diamondbacks: 31-35-0 SU / OU 28-36-2 / Run Line W/L 38-28-0

Recent Form

The Twins will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Diamondbacks by the score of 7-2. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Twins staff allowed 11 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 2 runs on 10 hits. Twins suffered the loss, despite being favored at -140.0. Through 44 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 64.0%. In the game, the Twins and Diamondbacks combined to match the over-under betting line of 9.0 runs. With the teams matching the betting line, Minnesota's over-under record sits at 30-31-5, Minnesota.

The Twins will be hoping to pick up a win in today's matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team's run differential comes in at -10. A key reason for Minnesota's recent struggles is an offense averaging just 2.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.36. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 21 series played, going 11-6-4.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a big win over the Twins by a score of 7-2. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 10 hits. At the plate, the Diamondbacks scored 7 times on 11 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 120.0 on the moneyline, the Diamondbacks still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 51 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 45.0%. Combined, the Diamondbacks and the Twins matched the over-under total of 9.0. This result drops Arizona's over-under record down to 28-36-2.

Across their last 5 contests, the Diamondbacks are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team's run differential sits at +17. The Diamondbacks' offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.11. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 8-9-4.

Pitching Matchup

Dylan Bundy gets the start for the Twins, with an overall record of 3-3. So far, Bundy has put together an ERA of 5.87. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.6 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.295. Home runs have been an issue for Bundy, as he is allowing an average of 1.96 per 9 innings pitched. Bundy has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 3.7 K's per game on a K rate of 18.0%. Throughout the season, Bundy has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.96 per contest.

Luke Weaver gets the start for the Diamondbacks, with an overall record of 1-0. To date, Weaver has an ERA of 4.91 while lasting an average of 1.6 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.353. Heading into the game, Weaver has yet to give up a home run. Weaver is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 2.0 K's per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. Weaver has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 4.91 per contest.

Minnesota vs Arizona History

Today's matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Arizona Diamondbacks will be their 2nd meeting of the season. Arizona holds the edge in the series at 1-0.

Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
  • Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games at home

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction 6/18/22

Heading into Saturday's interleague matchup between Minnesota and Arizona, the Diamondbacks have the slight edge on the moneyline. The Diamondbacks figure to continue to swing the bat well, as Twins starter Dylan Bundy has struggled of late. However, Luke Weaver will be appearing in Over 9.5just his 3rd game of the season for Arizona. For today's game, I recommend taking the over in what should be a high-scoring game in the desert.
 
Free Pick: 
Take the Over 9.5