Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Analysis & Recommended Bet

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Analysis & Recommended Bet

Darin Zank
Date: August 9, 7:05 pm
Location: Oriole Park
TV: SNET

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Tor -155/Balt +143
Total: 8.5ov -117

<p>After losing the first game of this three-game AL East series in Baltimore Monday night, the Blue Jays shoot for better results Tuesday night. Cy Young Award candidate Alex Manoah hits the hill for Toronto here against rookie Kyle Bradish for the O's.</p>
<p>Here's how we homeworked this game for our <b>free Jays/Orioles 8/9/22 pick</b>.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Tuesday's baseball betting lines opened Toronto at around -180 over Baltimore, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dropped that line 25 cents, down to the -155 range.</p>
<p>The Blue Jays could also be found "getting" around +100, giving the run and a half on the run line.</p>
<h2>Blue Jays-Orioles MLB Betting Preview</h2>
<p>Baltimore took the opener of this series Monday night, 7-4. The Orioles hit four home runs Monday while getting 5 2/3 good innings from starters Jordan Lyles on their way to victory.</p>
<p>Baltimore won Monday as a +115 home dog on the dime line and the game played over a total of 9.5 runs.</p>
<p>With Monday's win, the Orioles are 6-1 over their last seven games.</p>
<p>With Monday's loss, Toronto is 2-4 over its last six games.</p>
<p>At 60-49 and 57-52 overall, respectively, the Blue Jays and Baltimore are probably not going to catch the division-leading Yankees in the AL East race. But Toronto leads the AL wild-card race by a game and a half over second-place Tampa Bay, and the Orioles only trail Seattle by one game in the battle for the No. 3 spot.</p>
<p>The O's lead the season series with the Jays three games to two.</p>
<h2>Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up</h2>
<p>This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played back in June at Rogers Centre, an 11-1 Toronto victory.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/457094&quot; title="Kyle Bradish Pitching Game Logs">Bradish</a> is just 2/12 on quality starts this season, pitching on a short leash. Last Wednesday, he held Texas to one run and three hits through five innings of a 6-3 Baltimore victory. And just before that, he held Cincinnati to two runs through five frames of a 6-2 Orioles win.</p>
<p>Baltimore is 7-5 with Bradish this season, and that's actually about what they should be, based on his performances.</p>
<p>In his only career start against Toronto, that game back in June, Bradish allowed five runs and nine hits through 4 1/3 innings and took the L.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/396981&quot; title="Alek Manoah Pitching Game Stats">Manoah</a> is a solid 17/21 on quality starts this year and four for his last five. Last Thursday, he limited Minnesota to two runs and two hits through six innings of a 9-3 Blue Jays victory. And over his last five starts, he's allowed ten runs and 23 hits through 31 2/3 innings.</p>
<p>Toronto is 13-8 with Manoah this season, and that's probably three games worse than they should be, based on what he's done on a regular basis.</p>
<p>Over four career starts against the Orioles, three last year and the one back in June of this season, Manoah allowed seven runs - six earned - and ten hits through 22 1/3 innings, with five walks against 29 strikeouts. The Blue Jays won three of those four games.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks </h2>
<p>Toronto is batting an ML-best .267 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .329 team OBP and a .441 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the top three in Baseball in this split.</p>
<p>Baltimore is slashing .238/.306/.395 against right-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Orioles bullpen owns a 3.09 ERA this season, along with a 1.18 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Blue Jays pen owns a 3.90 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.<br />
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1603776">Toronto at Baltimore 8/9/22 Betting Stats</a>
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<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Blue Jays are 26-28 on the road this season and 50-36 against right-handed starters.</li>
<li>The Orioles are 32-21 at home and 33-36 against right-handed starters.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Over is 57-51 in Blue Jays games this season.</li>
<li>The Under is 53-50 in Orioles games.</li>
<li>The Total is split 25-25 at Oriole Park this season.</li>
</ul>

Jays at Orioles Prediction 8/922

Toronto gets our handicapping check-marks in the pitching match-up and in the splits with the sticks, while Baltimore owns an edge in the bullpen comparison. So we're leaning Blue Jays. Then, Toronto is 14 games over .500 against RH starters while the Orioles are three games under. Also, after dropping the opener of this series Monday night, we expect the Jays to bounce back. So while we're not big fans of the line on this game, we are betting the Blue Jays for our free baseball pick for Tuesday.

Free Pick: Take Toronto -155
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