St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds - Free MLB Pick

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds - Free MLB Pick

The Green Man
Date: August 4, 6:40 pm
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: FSOH

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Reds +115 / Cardinals -135
Total: 9.5

<p>
In Friday MLB betting action, it’s the 53-55 St. Louis Cardinals versus the 44-64 Cincinnati Reds in the first game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio tonight. The first pitch at Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET.
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<p>
The visiting Cardinals are the favorite in this match with the MLB boards listing them as at -120 to -130 at the sportsbooks we follow. The total line is a consensus 9.5 runs.
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<p>
In their last game, the Cardinals lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1. In the contest, the Cardinals scored one run on six hits and the Brewers scored two runs on nine hits in the low scoring affair.
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In their latest, the Reds lost to the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-0. In that game, the Reds were held scoreless on only four hits while the Pirates scored six runs on 13 hits in the easy win.
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This season the Cardinals rank 20th in the Majors in runs scored and 6th in team ERA.
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The Reds rank 18th in the Majors in runs scored and 30th in team ERA.
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<p>
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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St. Louis: Mike Leake (7-9, 3.29 ERA)<br />
Cincinnati: Asher Wojciechowski (1-1, 4.50 ERA)
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<p>
Mike Leake goes for the Cardinals tonight and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in five innings in a 7-1 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Cardinals have lost four of his last five starts where he gave up 12 earned runs in the four losses and none in the lone win. Leake pitched for the Reds for six seasons and in his career facing his former club he is 0-4 with an ERA of 4.79. He has faced them three times this season in three Cardinals losses where he went 19 innings and only gave up four earned runs and only received six runs of support. The Cardinals have lost four of Leake’s last five road starts and they have only won one of his last seven starts against teams from the NL Central.
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<p>
Asher Wojciechowski gets the starting nod for the Reds and his last outing was out of the bullpen where he pitched a scoreless inning in a 7-3 loss to the Miami Marlins. He is taking the spot in the rotation for the struggling Tim Adleman and since being recalled from the minors in the beginning of July he has six relief appearances and has only allowed one run and four hits. Before being sent down to the minors Wojciechowski was solid in his lone start against the Cardinals where he went six innings and gave up two runs in a 4-2 Cincinnati win.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Cardinals.
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The Reds have won their last 4 home games against the Cardinals.
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In the last 9 games between these teams the Over record is 6-2-1.
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This season the Reds are 24-26 at home and the Marlins are 20-25 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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St. Louis Cardinals: 53-55 SU / O/U 52-49 / Run Line W/L 49-59<br />
Cincinnati Reds: 44-63 SU / O/U 56-46 / Run Line W/L 53-54
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<h2>
St. Louis at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
STL is 1-4 in their last 5 road games
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STL is 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing record
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STL has an Under record of 3-0-2 in their last 5 road games
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CINCY is 5-14 in their last 19 overall
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CINCY is 2-9 in their last 11 home games
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CINCY has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games
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<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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CARDINALS<br />
[P] 04/10/2017 - Alex Reyes 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[CF] 07/25/2017 - Dexter Fowler 10-day DL (07/25) ( Forearm )<br />
[P] 07/25/2017 - Adam Wainwright 10-day DL (07/25) ( Back )
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REDS<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hand )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/26/2017 - Bronson Arroyo 60-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/18/2017 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 07/18/2017 - Scott Feldman 10-day DL (07/18) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 06/29/2017 - Brandon Finnegan 10-day DL (06/28) ( Tricep )<br />
[SS] 07/30/2017 - Zack Cozart 10-day DL (07/26) ( Quad )<br />
[LF] 08/02/2017 - Scott Schebler 10-day DL (07/31) ( Shoulder )
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Cardinals have lost two of their last three games and they are in 3rd place in the NL Central 4.5 games back of the Chicago Cubs. The lineup has been the main issue for the Cardinals this season and they have only totaled 13 runs in their last seven games. The Reds had their three-game win streak snapped in their last game and they are in the basement of the NL Central 13.5 games out of first place, they had scored 20 runs in winning three in a row before being shut out in their last game. Leake has had no luck facing his former team in the Reds and the Cardinals have lost his last seven starts facing them. I think that trend will continue in this game. The Reds have the 3rd worst record in the NL, but they have played well facing the Cardinals. Wojciechowski will continue his silid pitching in a starter’s role in this game and lead Cincy to a win.

Free Pick: Take the Reds +115
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