St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox Pick - Odds - Expert Preview

St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox Pick - Odds - Expert Preview

Deborah
Date: May 14, 7:10 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: St. L -120/Bos +100
Total: 10.5

After taking the first two games of this inter-league series the Cardinals shoot for the sweep of the Red Sox Sunday night at Fenway Park. Miles Mikolas slings it for St. Louis here against Corey Kluber for Boston.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday’s baseball betting market opened this game at right around a pick ‘em, with an over/under of 10.5 runs. Early betting action then slid St. Louis into a -120 favorite.

Cardinals-Red Sox Betting Preview

St. Louis took the opener of this series Friday night 8-6 with three runs in the top of the ninth. The Cardinals then did it again Saturday, scoring three in the ninth to steal a 4-3 victory.

St. Louis won Friday as a +105 underdog on the dime line, then cashed in at +125 Saturday.

With Saturday’s win the Cardinals, following that stumbling start to this season, are 5-1 over their last six games. At 15-25 overall St. Louis still owns the worst record in the National League - but they’re on the move.

Meanwhile, with Saturday’s loss Boston is 1-4 over its last five games. At 22-18 overall the Sox are tied for sixth place in the American League with Minnesota.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

Kluber is just 1/7 on quality starts this season but not going too bad as of late. Last Saturday he gave up three runs and seven hits through five innings of a 7-4 Boston win over Philadelphia. And over his last three starts he’s allowed seven runs and 17 hits through 16 1/3 innings.

The Red Sox are 3-4 with Kluber this season, and that’s about what they should be, based on his performances.

In his most recent start against St. Louis, last year while pitching for Tampa Bay, Kluber allowed three runs through five frames of an 11-3 Rays win.

Mikolas is just 1/8 on quality starts this year but also not going too bad recently. Last Monday he only allowed one run through 4 1/3 innings against the Cubs but got pulled after 96 pitches. The Cardinals won that game 3-1. And over his last three starts he’s allowed four runs and 16 hits through 16 1/3 innings.

St. Louis is 4-4 with Mikolas this season, although that’s probably a game better than it should be.

This will be Mikolas’ first career start against Boston.

Splits With the Sticks

St. Louis is batting .258 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .330 team OBP and a .423 team slugging percentage.

Boston is slashing .275/.339/.470 against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Red Sox bullpen owns a 3.79 ERA this season, along with a 1.28 WHIP and a 2.48 K/BB ratio.

The Cardinals pen owns a 3.79 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP and a 2.51 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

St. Louis is 9-12 on the road this season and a dismal 10-20 against right-handed starters.

Boston is 13-9 at home and 12-13 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

The overs are 20-19 in Cardinals games this season.

The overs are 26-13 in Red Sox games.

The overs are 15-7 at Fenway Park this season.

The overs are a combined 11-4 with Kluber and Mikolas this season.

Cardinals at Red Sox Free MLB Pick 05/14/23

St. Louis looks like it’s coming around, as we suspected it would, while Boston seems to be leveling out, following a nice run. And diverging trends mean a lot to us when handicapping baseball games. We’re betting the Cardinals to complete the sweep Sunday night.

Free Pick: Take St. Louis -120
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