San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Odds & Picks
The Padres and Rockies, both now above .500, continue their four-game NL West series Sunday afternoon in Denver. These rivals split the first two games of this series, as they jockey for playoff positioning in the National League. Who do we like here for our free MLB pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Sunday's MLB betting odds at Bet365 opened San Diego and Paddack at around -150 over Colorado and Castellani, with an over/under of 12.5 runs. The Padres also could be found at around -105, giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
Padres vs. Rockies Set-Up
San Diego took the opener of this series Friday night 10-4, but Colorado won Saturday's game 4-3 in walk-off fashion. The Padres won Friday as +100 "underdogs" on the MLB betting odds, while the Rockies won as +100 "dogs" Saturday.
With Saturday's win, the Rockies are 4-1 over their last five games.
With Saturday's loss, the Padres are 2-3 over their last five games. But prior to that, they won seven in a row.
At 20-15 overall, San Diego trails the division-leading Dodgers by five games in the NL West, with 17-16 Colorado seven games back. But if the playoffs started today, in this shortened MLB season with the expanded playoff field, both these teams would be in.
The Rockies lead the season series with the Padres 3-2.
Sunday's Starting Arms
Castellani is one/four on quality starts this season. On Monday, he held Arizona to two runs and three hits through six innings of a 3-2 Colorado victory. But just before that, he gave up five runs through 5 2/3 innings of a 13-6 loss to Houston.
The Rockies are 2-2 with Castellani this year, with the unders going 3-1.
This will be Castellani's first-ever start against San Diego, which could give him an edge, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.
Paddack is 3/7 on quality starts this year but struggling a bit as of late. Tuesday, he gave up six runs and eight hits through five innings of an 8-3 Padres loss to Seattle. And over his last three starts, he's been tagged for 13 runs and 18 hits, including six home runs, through 14 innings.
San Diego is 3-4 with Paddack this year, with the overs going 6-1.
In his only previous career start against Colorado, last August, Paddack allowed three runs and five hits through six innings of an 8-5 Padres win.
Sunday's Batting Splits
San Diego is batting .259 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .341 team OBP and a .486 team slugging percentage. Numbers like that help this lineup rank among the top five in the Majors in this split.
Colorado is batting .254/.321/.418 against RH pitching this season.
The Padres bullpen owns a 5.31 ERA this season and a 1.38 WHIP. But this unit was recently bolstered by the additions of Drew Pomeranz (activated from IL) and Trevor Rosenthal (trade with Kansas City).
The Rockies pen is even worse, posting a 5.81 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP.
MLB Betting Trends
- San Diego is 8-9 on the road this season.
- Colorado is 8-9 at home this season.
- San Diego is 15-9 against right-handed starters this season.
- Colorado is 9-13 vs. RH starters this season.
- Overs are 19-16 in Padres games this season.
- Unders are 18-14 in Rockies games this season.
- Overs are 3-2 in Padres-Rockies games this season.
- Overs are 9-7 in games played at Coors Field this season.
- Get more details: San Diego at Colorado MLB Match-up Stats
Padres vs. Rockies Prediction 8/30/20
Paddack started well this season but is struggling as of late, which is why we're calling this pitching match-up a push. But we give San Diego the edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Padres for our free MLB pick for Sunday.