San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Odds & Free Total Pick

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Odds & Free Total Pick

Darin Zank
Date: June 2, 7:40 pm
Location: American Family Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: SD +105/Mil -115
Total: 8.5

<p>The division-leading Brewers and Padres conclude their season series with a four-game set in Beer City beginning Thursday night. Adrian Houser takes his turn for Milwaukee here against lefty Sean Manaea for San Diego.</p>
<p>Which way are we going with our <b>free baseball betting pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Thursday’s baseball betting lines opened Milwaukee and Houser at around -120 over San Diego and Manaea, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped the Brewers a nickel to -115.</p>
<h2>Padres-Brewers MLB Betting Preview</h2>
<p>San Diego just got swept three games in St. Louis, losing Wednesday’s series finale 5-2. Just before that the Padres took two of three games at home from Pittsburgh, but just before that they lost the last two games of a series against this Milwaukee outfit. So San Diego is only 2-5 over its last seven games.</p>
<p>At 30-20 overall the Padres sit in second place in the NL West, three games behind the division-leading Dodgers.</p>
<p>Milwaukee, meanwhile, just split four games at the Cubs, losing Wednesday’s series finale 4-3 in 10 innings. Just before that the Brewers split four games with the Cardinals, and just before that they took the last two games of a series at San Diego. So Milwaukee is 6-4 over its last 10 games.</p>
<p>At 32-20 overall the Brewers lead the NL Central by two games over second-place St. Louis.</p>
<p>This series is the second meeting between these teams this season. As mentioned above Milwaukee took two of three low-scoring games from the Padres at Petco Park a week ago.</p>
<h2>Thursday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/72537&quot; title="Adrian Houser Pitching Game Logs">Houser</a>, by our strict accounting, is 3/9 on quality starts this season. Last Saturday he got clipped by the Cardinals for eight runs - five earned - and nine hits, including two home runs, through four innings of an 8-3 Milwaukee defeat. But over his two starts previous to that he allowed just two runs - one earned - and seven hits through 12 innings.</p>
<p>The Brewers are 3-6 with Houser this season but that’s at least a couple games worse than it should be.</p>
<p>Over his last three outings against San Diego, two last year and a quality start 10 days ago, Houser allowed three runs and nine hits through 15 2/3 innings.</p>
<p>Lefty <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79524&quot; title="Sean Manaea Pitching Game Stats">Manaea</a> is 5/9 on quality starts this year and two for his last three. Last Friday he held the Pirates to three runs and four hits through seven innings of a 4-3 Padres victory. And over his last three starts he’s allowed 10 runs and 15 hits through 20 innings, with seven walks against 22 strikeouts.</p>
<p>San Diego is 4-5 with Manaea this year but that’s at least a game or two worse than it should be.</p>
<p>This will be Manaea’s first action against Milwaukee since 2017, when he was with Oakland, and that’s a long time ago.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>San Diego is batting .227 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .303 team OBP and a .336 team slugging percentage. The Padres have also scored a total of just 22 runs over their last nine games.</p>
<p>Milwaukee is slashing .209/.292/.356 against left-handed pitching. This line-up is also down two-three regulars, with McCutchen, Adames and Renfroe all either out or questionable for Thursday night.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The San Diego bullpen owns a 3.71 ERA this season, along with a 1.16 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Brewers pen owns a 3.44 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP.<br />
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<span style="font-size:14px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1598396">San Diego at Milwaukee 6/2/22 Betting Stats</a>
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<h2>MLB Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>The Padres are 17-9 on the road this season and 17-15 against right-handed starters.</li>
<li>The Brewers are 14-6 at home this season and 8-10 against left-handed starters.</li>
</ul>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The unders are 27-20 in Padres games this season.</li>
<li>The unders are 24-22 in Brewers games.</li>
<li>The unders are 10-9 at American Family Field this season.</li>
</ul>

Padres at Brewers Prediction 6/2/22

We don’t know who’s going to win this game and we don’t care because our pick isn’t coming on a side, but on the total. Houser’s been good against San Diego while Manaea’s been good all season for the Padres. Meanwhile, both these teams have pretty good bullpens and both are struggling with the sticks. So we like the under on this game for our free baseball pick for Thursday. 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 8.5
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