It’s a rematch of last year’s World Series as the Phillies shoot for a sweep of the defending champion Astros in Houston Sunday night. Jose Urquidy hits the hill for the home team here against lefty Bailey Falter for the visitors.

Which way are we going here with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday’s baseball betting market opened Houston and Urquidy at around -145 over Philly and Falter, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

Phillies-Astros Betting Preview

Philadelphia took the opener of this series Friday night 3-1, then won Saturday’s game 6-1. The Phillies won Friday as +135 underdogs against Framber Valdez, then cashed in at +120 with Zach Wheeler Saturday.

Also, both games in this series played under totals of 7.5.

With Saturday’s win Philadelphia is 7-1 over its last eight games.

With Saturday’s loss Houston is 2-3 over its last five games.

Last year the Astros took two of three games from the Phillies during the regular season, then beat Philly in six games to win the World Series.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

Urquidy is just 1/5 on quality starts this season and 0 for his last two. Monday he got tagged by Tampa Bay for six runs and seven hits through just 2 2/3 innings in an 8-3 Houston defeat. And just before that he gave up four runs in less than five innings of a 4-2 Astros loss to Toronto.

Houston is 2-3 with Urquidy this season and that’s what they should be, based on his performances.

Over two appearances against Philadelphia last season, one in the Series, Urquidy allowed two runs and three hits through five innings, with three walks against five strikeouts.

Falter is also 1/5 on quality starts this year. Tuesday he gave up four runs - three earned - and two home runs through six innings of a 5-3 Phillies loss to Seattle. Just before that he held the White Sox to three runs through seven frames, although Philadelphia lost that game 3-0.

The Phillies are only 1-4 with Falter this season, although they could easily be 3-2, with a little better run support.

This will be Falter’s first career start against the Astros.

Splits With the Sticks

Philadelphia is batting .278 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .337 team OBP and a .450 team slugging percentage.

Houston is slashing .239/.319/.399 against left-handed pitching. The Astros have also been held to a total of three runs over their last three games.

The Bullpens

The Houston bullpen owns a 3.09 ERA this season, along with a 1.15 WHIP and a 3.34 K/BB ratio.

The Phillies pen owns a 4.59 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP and a 2.34 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia is 8-5 on the road this season and 12-8 against right-handed starters.

Houston is 6-9 at home and 3-3 against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

The unders are 16-12 in Phillies games this season.

The overs are 15-11 in Astros games.

The overs are 9-5 at Minute Maid Park this season.

The unders are a combined 8-2 with Urquidy and Falter this season.