New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Game 7 Pick 10-19-19

October 19, 7:08 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Yankees -132/Astros -142

The New York Yankees staved off elimination Friday night with a Game 4 victory in this American League Championship Series, and look to force a Game 7 when the teams meet Saturday night again in Houston. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

As of this writing, MLB playoff betting, odds were holding off on lining Game 6, due to uncertainty as to who's going to pitch for both teams.

Yankees vs. Astros Game 6 Set-Up

Down three games to one in this ALCS New York pulled out a 4-1 victory in Game 5 Friday night to stay alive, forcing the teams to hop on planes and head to Texas for this Game 6 and possibly a Game 7. The Yankees spotted the Astros a run in the top of the first inning Friday night, then scored four runs in the bottom of the first off Houston starter Justin Verlander to take a lead it would not relinquish.

New York cashed in as a +125 home dog on the MLB playoff betting line Friday night, and Game 5 stayed under a total of 7.5 runs, as neither team scored after the first inning.

With Friday's win, the Yankees are 5-3 in these playoffs.

With Friday's loss, the Astros are 6-4 in these playoffs.

Houston took the regular-season series from New York four games to three.

Game 6 Starting Arms

As of this writing, it appeared both teams would go with "openers" and bullpens for Game 6. Houston was probably going to give Jose Urquidy the ball to begin the game, while New York was apparently going with Chad Green. But the bullpens are probably going to pitch the majority of this contest.

Houston finished 27-25 during the regular season in games not started by Gerrit Cole, Justin Verlander, Zack Greinke, or Wade Miley.

The Yankees finished 15-11 during the regular season in games not started by Domingo German, James Paxton, JA Happ, Masahiro Tanaka, or CC Sabathia.

Game 6 Batting Splits

New York batted .267/.336/.490 during the regular season. The Yankees then scored 23 runs in three games of that ALDS victory over Minnesota, but they've only scored 17 runs through the first five games of this ALCS.

Houston batted .274/.352/.495 during the regular season. The Astros then scored 19 runs in five games of that ALDS victory over Tampa Bay, but they've only scored 16 runs through the first five games of this ALCS.

The Bullpens

The Astros bullpen posted a 3.75 ERA during the regular season and a 1.20 WHIP while holding foes to a .694 OPS. Houston relievers have then allowed seven earned runs and ten hits through 15 innings in this ALCS.

The Yankees pen posted a 4.08 ERA this season and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing a .729 OPS. New York relievers have since allowed six ER and 12 hits through 22 1/3 innings of work in this ALCS.

MLB Betting Trends

  • New York played 46-35 on the road this season, and it's 2-1 on the road in these playoffs.
  • Houston played an ML-best 60-21 at home this season, and it's 4-1 at home in these playoffs.

Totals Report

  • Overs played 84-72 in Yankees games this season.
  • Unders played 84-71 in Astros games this season.
  • Unders played 39-37 in games played at Minute Maid Park this season.
  • Unders are 4-1 in this ALCS.

Yankees at Astros Prediction 10/19/19

It's time for Houston to put New York away and advance on to the World Series. We give the Astros advantages with the sticks and in the comparison of the bullpens, and the line on this game, when it comes out, shouldn't be too prohibitive, considering neither Cole or Verlander will pitch. The home team is only 2-3 in this ALCS, but that seems like a lean due for a correction. We're going with Houston for our free MLB pick here.

Free Pick: 
Take Houston -142

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