New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox ALDS Game 2 Pick - Odds and Betting Predictions

Date: 
October 6, 8:15 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Red Sox -115 / Yankees +105
Total: 
9

MLB Betting Line

The Red Sox opened as the slight home betting favorites in Game 2 of the ALDS with a total of nine runs, and the lines have held firm. The run-line wager odds list the Yankees at -185 getting the 1.5 runs, and the Red Sox are at +170 giving 1.5 runs.

Yankees at Red Sox MLB Setup

In Game 1 of this series yesterday the Red Sox beat the Yankees 5-4. The Red Sox scored three of their five runs in the first inning, and for the game, they had eight hits, and the Yankees scored four runs on 10 hits.

Boston Chris Sale got the win in Game 1 going five 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs and struck out eight. There is a little concern for the bullpen that gave up two runs in the game, and closer Craig Kimbrel did get the save but also gave up a solo HR in the 9th inning to get the Yankees to within one run.

This season the Yankees rank 2nd in runs scored and 10th in team ERA and the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.

Head-To-Head

This season the Red Sox are 11-9 against the Yankees. The Red Sox have won seven of their last nine home games facing the Yankees.

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Pitching Match-Up

New York: Masahiro Tanaka (12-6 3.75 ERA)
Boston: David Price (16-7 3.58 ERA)

In Tanaka's last start of the regular season, he gave up three earned runs on six hits in only four innings in an 8-7 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. After winning three in a row with him on the hill, the Yankees have lost his last two starts where he gave up eight earned runs in eight innings. In Tanaka's start previous to the last one he faced the Red Sox and was not sharp giving up five earned runs in four innings in an 11-6 New York loss. The Yankees are 2-2 in Tanaka’s four starts against the Red Sox this season where he has a less than stellar ERA of 7.58.

In Tanaka's career against the Red Sox, he is 8-4 with an ERA of 4.35 in 18 career starts. The Yankees have lost four of Tanaka’s last five starts facing a team with a winning record, but they have won his last four Saturday starts.

In Price’s last start of the regular season he gave up three earned runs on six hits, and the lineup helped him out some in a 19-3 w3in over the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox lost his previous start against the Yankees where he gave up four earned runs in five 1/3 innings. The Red Sox lost three of Price's four starts against the Yankees this season.

While the Red Sox are 2-5 in Price's last seven starts against the Yankees, they are 4-1 in his previous five starts facing them in Boston. In 17 career playoff appearances Price has an ERA of 5.03, and in two post-season outing past season against the Houston Astros he pitched six 2/3 innings and did not give up any earned runs. The Red Sox have won 21 of his last 27 home starts.

Yankees at Red Sox MLB Betting Angles

The Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 8 home games against the Yankees.

In the last 6 games between these teams, the total has gone Over every time.

In the last 5 games between these teams in Boston, the Over record is 4-0-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

New York Yankees: 101-63 SU / O/U 80-77 / Run Line W/L 85-79
Boston Red Sox: 109-54 SU / O/U 78-76 / Run Line W/L 92-71

New York at Boston MLB Key Betting Trends

  • NY is 11-4 in their last 15 road games against a left-hand starter
  • NY is 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games
  • NY has an Over record of 7-0 in their last 7 road games
  • BOS is 45-19 in their last 64 home games against a right-hand starter
  • BOS is 45-17 in their previous 62 home games
  • BOS has an Over record of 10-1-1 in their last 12 games

Key Player Injuries

YANKEES

[RF] 10/05/2018 - Aaron Hicks left last game, is "?" Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Hamstring )
[LF] 09/19/2018 - Clint Frazier 60-day DL (09/19) ( Concussion )
[P] 07/07/2018 - Jonathan Loaisiga 10-day DL (07/07) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/10/2018 - Jordan Montgomery is out for season ( Elbow )
[CF] 05/02/2018 - Jacoby Ellsbury 60-day DL (03/26) ( Oblique )
[P] 04/04/2018 - Ben Heller 60-day DL (03/27) ( Elbow )

RED SOX

[P] 09/27/2018 - Tyler Thornburg is out for season ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season ( Knee )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )

Get more details: New York at Boston MLB Match-Up

New York at Boston Prediction 10/06/2018

The Red Sox bullpen was a little shaky giving up two runs, but they prevailed to take a 1-0 lead in this series. Both Tanaka and Price have not been in top form over their last couple of starts so the total might be worth a few bucks. That said I expect Price to have the worst outing with his pitching history. Price is 0-8 in nine career playoff starts and this season facing the Yankees he was 0-3 in four starts where he had a bloated 10.34 ERA. New York will take this game in Boston, and even the series and have the home-field advantage heading home for Game 3.

Free Pick: 
Take the NY Yankees +105
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