New York Yankees at New York Mets Odds & Predictions

New York Yankees at New York Mets Odds & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: July 26, 7:10 pm
Location: Citi Field
TV: TBS

Betting Odds

Moneyline: NYY -114 / NYM +104
Total: 8un -114

<p>Division leaders clash when the Yankees and Mets open a quick two-game subway series at Citi Field Tuesday night. Taijuan Walker takes his turn for the home team here against lefty Jordan Montgomery for the visitors.</p>
<p>Which way are we going here with our <b>free baseball betting pick</b>?</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Tuesday's baseball betting lines opened this game at right around a pick 'em, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then slid the Yankees into -120 favorites.</p>
<h2>Yankees-Mets MLB Betting Preview </h2>
<p>The Yankees just took two of three games at Baltimore over the weekend, winning Sunday's series rubber match 6-0. They then enjoyed Monday off.</p>
<p>Just before that, the Yanks dropped two games in Houston, but just before that, they took two of three games from Boston. But going back a bit further, the Yankees are only 2-2-2 over their last six series and 8-10 over their last 18 games.</p>
<p>At 66-31 overall, the Yanks still lead the AL East by 12.5 games over second-place Toronto, but their lead over Houston in the battle for the best record in the American League is down to two games.</p>
<p>The Mets, meanwhile, just dropped two of three games at home to San Diego, avoiding the sweep by winning Sunday's rubber match 8-5. They then also had Monday off.</p>
<p>Just before that, the Mets took three of four games at the Cubs, and just before that, they won two of three at Atlanta. Going back a bit further, the Mets are 4-1-1 over their last six series and 12-8 over their last 20 games.</p>
<p>At 59-37 overall, the Mets lead the NL East by two games over the second-place Braves.</p>
<p>This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year the Mets took the season series from the Yankees four games to two.</p>
<h2>Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p><a class="advblue "href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/48972&quot; title="Taijuan Wlaker Pitching Game Logs">Walker</a>, by our strict standards, is 7/16 on quality starts this season and three for his last four. Last time out, ten days ago, he held the Cubs to one run and four hits through six innings of a 2-1 Mets victory. And over his last four starts, he's allowed just four runs and 15 hits through 26 1/3 innings.</p>
<p>The Mets are 9-7 with Walker this season, 5-2 over his last seven starts.</p>
<p>Over two starts against the Yankees last season, Walker allowed seven runs and eight hits, including four home runs, through 11 2/3 innings. The Mets split those two games while both games played over their totals.</p>
<p><a class="advblue"href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/116017&quot; title="Jordan Montgomery Pitching Game Stats">Lefty Montgomery is 8/19 on quality starts this year</a>, pitching in some bad luck as of late. Last Thursday, he held Houston to two runs and seven hits through 6 1/3 innings, with one walk against eight strikeouts, although the Yanks lost that game 3-2. And over his last four starts, he's allowed eight runs and 21 hits through 23 innings, with six walks against 24 whiffs; somehow, the Yankees lost all four of those games.</p>
<p>The Yanks are only 9-10 with Montgomery this year, but that's probably two games worse than they should be.</p>
<p>Over two starts against the Mets last year, Montgomery got touched for ten runs - eight earned - and 13 hits through just 7 2/3 innings. The Yankees lost both those games, and both games played over their totals.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>The Yankees are batting .245 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .332 team OBP and a .438 team slugging percentage.</p>
<p>The Mets are slashing .239/.318/.371 against left-handed pitching.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Mets bullpen owns a 3.53 ERA this season, along with a 1.22 WHIP.</p>
<p>The Yankees pen owns a 2.97 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.<br />
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<span style="font-size:16px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1603481">Tampa Bay at Baltimore 7/25/22 Betting Stats</a>
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</ul>
<p></section></p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>The Yankees are 29-19 on the road this season and 45-23 against right-handed starters.</p>
<p>The Mets are 29-17 at home and 20-15 against left-handed starters.</p>
<h2>Totals Report</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Over is 48-47 in Yankees games this season.</li>
<li>The Over is 47-42 in Mets games.</li>
<li>The Over is 25-20 at Citi Field this season.</li>
<li>The Overs were 5-1 in Yankees-Mets games last season.</li>
<li>The Under is a combined 21-13 with Walker and Montgomery this season.</li>
</ul>

Yankees at Mets Prediction 7/26/22

We give Walker the edge in the pitching match-up, but the Yankees own edges in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Also, when a good team like the Yanks goes through an iffy stretch - 4-5 over their last nine games - we expect and bet on a reversal of fortunes. So we like the Yankees Tuesday night.

 

Free Pick: Take the Yanks
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