New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Betting Odds, Analysis, Predictions

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Betting Odds, Analysis, Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: July 30, 7:10 pm
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: NYY +124/Balt -135
Total: 9

After splitting the first two games of this three-game AL East affair, the first-place Orioles and last-place Yankees play a rubber match Sunday night at Camden Yards. Dean Kremer gets the call for Baltimore here against Luis Severino for New York.

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday’s baseball betting market opened with Baltimore and Kremer at around -120 over New York and Severino, with an over/under set at nine runs. Early betting action then bumped the Orioles to -135.

Team Analysis

New York Yankees

The Yankees are 5-2 over their last seven games, and at 55-49 overall, they trail Toronto by 3.5 games in the battle for the final American League wild-card spot. They are batting .229 against right-handed pitching this season.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles are 1-3 over their last four games, but with a 63-41 overall record, they lead Tampa Bay by a game and a half in the battle for the best record in the American League. They are slashing .246/.311/.415 against right-handed pitching.

Pitching Match-Up

Baltimore Orioles - Dean Kremer

Kremer is 2/3 on quality starts since the All-Star break. He has shown some inconsistency, but Baltimore has won 15 of the 21 games when Kremer starts this season. Over his last three starts against the Yankees, he allowed nine earned runs in 17 1/3 innings, with five walks and 20 strikeouts. The Orioles won two of those three games.

New York Yankees - Luis Severino

Severino is 1/2 on quality starts since the break. He has improved recently, allowing three runs in his last start. The Yankees are 5-6 with Severino this year. Over his last three starts against Baltimore, he allowed 12 runs in 14 2/3 innings, with the Yankees winning two of those three games.

Hitting and Bullpen Analysis

Hitting Stats

The Yankees are batting .229 against right-handed pitching this season. Baltimore is slashing .246/.311/.415 against right-handed pitching.

Bullpen Performance

The Orioles' bullpen owns a 3.76 ERA this season, while the Yankees' bullpen has a ML-best 3.18 ERA.

MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report

MLB Betting Trends

The Yankees are 23-25 on the road this season and 44-41 against right-handed starters. Baltimore is 31-21 at home and 40-30 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

The unders are 53-46 in Yankees games this season, while the overs are 54-44 in Orioles games. In Yankees-Orioles games this season, the overs are 8-3. At Camden Yards, the totals are split 25-25 this season.

Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Pick 7/30/23

Kremer has the edge in the pitching match-up, but it’s close. From there, Baltimore’s bats own the better numbers, but New York just got Judge back, which could boost their performance. The Yankees also have the better bullpen. Considering the underdog price, the value resides with New York for Sunday night's game.
 

Free Pick: Take the Yankees +124
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