New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds

The Green Man
Date: April 12, 7:05 pm
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: N/A

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -115 / Mets -105
Total: 8

<p>
It’s the 5-3 New York Mets visiting the 3-5 Philadelphia Phillies in the 3rd game of a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania tonight. The first pitch at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET. The MLB board lists the host Phillies as a -115 favorite with the total being offered up at 8 runs.
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<p>
In Game 2 of this series yesterday the Mets beat the Phillies 14-4. In the game New York’s Yoenis Cespedes had three HR, the Mets had six HR overall, and banged out 20hits.
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<p>
This season the Mets rank 8th in the Majors in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.
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<p>
The Phillies rank 4th in the Majors in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Matchup<br />
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<p>
New York: Zack Wheeler (0-1, 11.25 ERA)<br />
Philadelphia: Vince Velasquez (0-1, 9.00 ERA)
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<p>
Zack Wheeler gets the nod for the Mets in the 3rd game of this NL East series and in his first start he took the loss giving up five earned runs in four innings of work in a 7-2 loss the Miami Marlins. That start was his first in two seasons missing the last two due to injuries. He has pitched well facing the Phillies in his career with a 2-1 record in five starts with an ERA of 2.97. New York has lost five of Wheeler’s last seven starts.
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<p>
Vince Velasquez goes for the Phillies tonight and in his season debut he took the loss and while he struck out 10 he only lasted four innings and gave up four earned runs in a 7-6 loss to the Washington Nationals. He pitched well facing the Mets last season striking out 20, going 1-1 in three starts, and an impressive ERA of 1.76. While Velasquez was solid against New York last season the Phillies have not had much success with him on the mound, as they have lost nine of his last 10 starts overall and have dropped their last six games at home with him on the hill.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Mets are 38-15 in their last 53 games against the Phillies.
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<p>
The Mets are 36-15 in their last 51 games facing the Phillies in Philadelphia.
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In the last 5 games between these teams the Over record is 4-1.
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In the last 8 games between these teams in Philadelphia the Under record is 7-1.
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This season the Phillies are 1-2 at home and the Mets are 2-0 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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<p>
New York Mets: 5-3 SU / O/U 4-3 / Run Line W/L 4-4<br />
Philadelphia Phillies: 3-5 SU / O/U 4-4 / Run Line W/L 5-3
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<h2>
New York at Philadelphia Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
NY is 6-1 in their last 7 road games
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<li>
NY is 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter
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NY has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games
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PHIL is 4-11 in their last 15 overall
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PHIL is 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter
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PHIL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
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<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>METS</b><br />
[P] 03/30/2017 - Steven Matz 10-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[CF] 03/30/2017 - Juan Lagares 10-day DL (3/30) ( Oblique )<br />
[LF] 03/31/2017 - Brandon Nimmo 10-day DL (3/30) ( Hamstring )<br />
[3B] 03/31/2017 - David Wright 10-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Seth Lugo 10-day DL (3/30) ( Arm )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Jeurys Familia 15-game suspension (eligible to return 04/20 vs Philadelphia) ( Suspension )
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<b>PHILLIES</b><br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Zach Eflin 10-day DL (03/30) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 04/10/2017 - Jeremy Hellickson "?" for next scheduled start ( Forearm )
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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Velasquez pitched well against the Mets last season, but with the Phillies losing their last six home games with him getting the call I cannot go with them in this game. The Mets bats lit up the Phillies in yesterday’s game and they will get to Velasquezin this game. While Wheeler may not have a great outing he willnot be as bad as his season debut. This game will be a high scoring one and one that the Mets will win to complete the sweep.

Free Pick: Take the Mets -105
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