New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Odds - Free MLB Pick

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Odds - Free MLB Pick

The Green Man
Date: August 30, 7:10 pm
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: FSOH

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Reds -131 / Mets +121
Total: 10

<p>
On the MLB betting board, it’s the 57-74 New York Mets versus the 56-76 Cincinnati Reds in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio tonight. The first pitch at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to be tossed at 7:10 PM ET.
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<p>
The MLB betting board at <a class="advblue" href="javascript:GoTo(Betonline)">BetOnline</a> (Offers a huge 50% bonus - up to $2500 FREE) lists the host Reds as a -131 moneyline favorite over the visiting Mets. The total line is offered up at 10 runs.
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<p>
In Game 1 of this series yesterday, the Reds beat the Mets 14-4. In the game, the Reds exploded for 14 runs on 15 hits while the Mets countered with 10 hits scoring four runs.
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<p>
This season the Mets rank 18th in the Majors in runs scored and 28th in team ERA.
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<p>
The Reds rank 11th in the Majors in runs scored and 30th in team ERA.
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<p>
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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<p>
New York: Rafael Montero (2-9, 5.64 ERA)<br />
Cincinnati: Homer Bailey (4-6, 7.99 ERA)
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<p>
Rafael Montero gets the call in this series finale and in his last outing he came out of the bullpen and was not sharp giving up two earned runs in less than an inning pitched. Previous to that the Mets had lost four of his last five starts, but he has not given up more than three earned runs in his last three starts. Since July 2nd Montero is 1-5 with an ERA of 5.65. New York has lost his last six starts after their opponents scored at least five runs in their previous game. In Montero’s last three outings he has not allowed a HR after allowing eight in his previous five starts.
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<p>
Homey Bailey goes for the Reds tonight and in his last start he left the game after three innings with a shoulder issue after not allowing any earned runs in a 13-9 loss to the Chicago Cubs. The Reds have lost three of his last four starts, including his last two, where he has lasted 16 innings and given up 18 earned runs. Cincinnati has lost Bailey’s last six home starts and they have lost eight of their last 10 games with him on the hill facing a team from the NL East. Previous to his last short start at home he was shelled for 10 earned runs in only three innings in his previous home start.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<p>
The Mets are 20-7 in their last 27 games against the Reds.
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<p>
The Mets are 20-8 in their last 28 games against the Reds in Cincinnati.
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In the last 12 games between these teams the Over record is 8-3-1.
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In the last 9 games between these teams the Over record is 6-2-1.
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This season the Reds are 32-35 at home and the Mets are 29-35 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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<p>
New York Mets: 57-74 SU / O/U 73-47 / Run Line W/L 57-74<br />
Cincinnati Reds: 56-76 SU / O/U 72-55 / Run Line W/L 67-65
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<h2>
New York at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
NYM is 2-5 in their last 7 road games
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<li>
NYM is 4-12 in their last 16 overall
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<li>
NYM has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games
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CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East
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<li>
CINCY is 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
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<li>
CINCY has an Over record of 9-3 in their last 12 home games
</li>
</ul>
<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h3>
<p>
<b>METS</b><br />
[3B] 03/31/2017 - David Wright 60-day DL (03/30) ( Neck )<br />
[P] 05/01/2017 - Noah Syndergaard 60-day DL (05/01) ( Side )<br />
[P] 06/15/2017 - Matt Harvey 10-day DL (06/15) ( Arm )<br />
[SS] 07/28/2017 - T.J. Rivera 10-day DL (07/28) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 07/24/2017 - Zack Wheeler 10-day DL (07/23) ( Arm )<br />
[P] 08/21/2017 - Steven Matz 10-day DL (08/19) ( Elbow )<br />
[CF] 08/26/2017 - Yoenis Cespedes 10-day DL (08/26); out for season ( Hamstring )<br />
[LF] 08/25/2017 - Michael Conforto 10-day DL (08/25) ( Shoulder )
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<b>REDS</b><br />
[P] 08/10/2017 - Lisalverto Bonilla 10-day DL (08/07) ( Elbow )<br />
[C] 08/15/2017 - Devin Mesoraco 10-day DL (08/13) ( Foot )<br />
[P] 08/13/2017 - Austin Brice 10-day DL (08/13) ( Side )<br />
[P] 08/18/2017 - Scott Feldman 60-day DL (08/18) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 08/22/2017 - Homer Bailey "?" for next scheduled start ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/26/2017 - Bronson Arroyo 60-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 06/29/2017 - Brandon Finnegan 10-day DL (06/28) ( Tricep )<br />
[P] 06/18/2017 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hand )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )
</p>

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Mets had won 13 straight against the Reds before losing the first game of this series yesterday. They have lost two in a row and three of their last four games and are well out of the playoff picture. In their three losses in their last four games the Mets have given up 28 runs. The Reds are also out of the playoff picture and they have the 3rd worst record in the NL. They had lost two in a row where they only scored two runs before blowing up for 14 in the first game of this series. Montero was roughed up in less than an inning of relief in his last outing, but has not been bad in his last few starts. I think he will have a decent outing in this one while Bailey will struggle and the Mets will chase him out of the game roughing him up early. The Mets will take the win in this game and go for the series win tomorrow.

Free Pick: Take the Mets +121
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