Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Lines - Free Baseball Picks

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Lines - Free Baseball Picks

The Green Man
Date: June 3, 7:05 pm
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers +101 / Phillies -109
Total: 7.5ov -110

<p>Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Betting Odds. It's the 25-29 Milwaukee Brewers versus the 26-28 Philadelphia Phillies in the second of four game set in Philadelphia. The first pitch is scheduled to be tossed at Citizens Bank Park at 7:05 PM ET on June 3, 2016.
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<p>In their last games: In the opener of this four game series the Brewers got the money knocking off the Phillies 4-1. Milwaukee scored their four runs on 12 hits while the Phillies scored their lone run on five hits.
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<p>The Brewers have won seven of their last 10 games including their last two. They are in 4th place in the NL Central 13 games back of the Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee ranks 18th in runs scored and 25th in team ERA.
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<p>The Phillies are reeling losers of seven straight games and they are in 4th place in the NL East seven games back of the Washington Nationals. Philadelphia's pitching has been solid on the season ranking 10th in ERA, but they rank only 29th in runs scored. Their offense has really struggled as of late, totaling just12 runs in their seven-game skid.
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<div class="heading">Pitching Matchup</div>
<p>Milwaukee: Jimmy Nelson (5-3, 2.88 ERA)<br><br />
Philadelphia: Vince Velasquez (5-2, 3.63 ERA)</p>
<p>Jimmy Nelson goes for the Brewers tonight and in his last outing he gave up two earned runs in seven innings in a 5-4 win over the Cincinnati Reds. The Brewers have won his last two starts. Nelson has an ERA of 1.57 in his last four starts. Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10 games with Nelson on the hill and they have won five of their last seven games with him facing a team that has a losing record. Nelson went 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA in two starts against the Phillies last season.
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<p>Vince Velasquez gets the starting nod for the Phillies and in his last outing he was shelled giving up seven earned runs in four innings in a 7-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. The Phillies have lost his last two starts. In Velasquez's first five starts this season he went 4-1 with an ERA of 1.44, but in his last five starts he is 1-1 with an ERA of 6.31. Tonight will be his first career start against the Brewers.
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<h2>Betting Angles</h2>
<ul>
<li>The Brewers are 9-2 in their last 11 games against the Phillies.</li>
<li>The Brewers are 8-0 in their last 8 games against the Phillies in Philadelphia.</li>
<li>In the last 17 games between these teams in Philadelphia the Over record is 13-3-1.</li>
<li>This season the Phillies are 13-13 at home and the Brewers are 10-14 on the road.</li>
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<h2>STRAIGHT UP / OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS </h2>
<p>Milwaukee Brewers: 25-29 SU / O/U 27-23 / Run Line W/L 26-28<br><br />
Philadelphia Phillies: 26-28 SU / O/U 21-31 / Run Line W/L 26-28
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<h2>Betting Trends </h2>
<ul>
<li>MIL is 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.</li>
<li>MIL is 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.</li>
<li>MIL has an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games.</li>
<li>PHIL is 1-6 in their last 7 home games.</li>
<li>PHIL is 0-7 in their last 7 overall.</li>
<li>PHIL has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.</li>
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<div class="heading">Key Player Injuries </div>
<p>BREWERS<br><br />
[P] 06/01/2016 - Michael Blazek 15-day DL ( Elbow )<br><br />
[P] 05/27/2016 - Chris Capuano 15-day DL (4/2) ( Elbow )<br><br />
[RF] 05/20/2016 - Domingo Santana 15-day DL (5/19) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 04/28/2016 - Matt Garza 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[LF] 04/04/2016 - Rymer Liriano 60-day DL (3/25) ( Facial )<br><br />
[P] 04/04/2016 - Corey Knebel 15-day DL (4/1) ( Oblique )<br><br />
[P] 04/04/2016 - Zach Jones 60-day DL (3/31) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 04/02/2016 - Yhonathan Barrios 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )<br><br />
[P] 04/01/2016 - Sean Nolin 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )</p>
<p>PHILLIES<br><br />
[P] 05/01/2016 - Dalier Hinojosa 15-day DL (4/29) ( Hand )<br><br />
[P] 04/14/2016 - Daniel Stumpf 80-game suspension ( Suspension )<br><br />
[P] 04/24/2016 - Charlie Morton 60-day DL (4/24); out for season ( Hamstring )<br><br />
[P] 03/31/2016 - Matt Harrison 60-day DL (4/2) ( Back )<br><br />
[LF] 03/31/2016 - Aaron Altherr 60-day DL (4/2) ( Wrist )</p>

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The starting pitching match-up is in my opinion closer than it may appear. Milwaukee's starter Jimmy Nelson has recorded four straight quality starts, but he doesn't have great historical numbers against the Phillies' batters in limited plate appearances. Philadelphia starter Vince Velasquez got lit up at Wrigley Field in his latest, but that was on the road and at home he's been very sharp going 3-1 with a 0.74 earned run average in four starts. The Phillies' offense has generated greater than two runs just once in their last seven matches.

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