Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds - Free Pick

Date: 
April 14, 4:10 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Dodgers -145/Brewers +135
Total: 
9

The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday and Saturday night, and shoot for the sweep of this three-game series Sunday afternoon. Who do we like for our free MLB pick on Sunday's contest?

MLB Betting Report

Sunday's MLB betting odds opened Los Angeles and Stripling at around -135 over Milwaukee and Chacin, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped that line up to -145 and the total to 9.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Set-Up

Milwaukee took the opener of this series Friday night 8-5, then won Saturday night 4-1. The Brewers took the lead for good Saturday on a Mike Moustakas solo homer in the top of the second inning and got seven quality innings from starter Zach Davies, on their way to victory as +140 underdogs on the MLB betting line.

So after getting swept three games by the Angels in Anaheim earlier this week, Milwaukee has a chance for a sweep of its own to even its LA trip at 3-3.

Los Angeles, meanwhile, now owns a six-game losing streak, after getting swept four games in St. Louis earlier this week.

Last year the Dodgers took the regular-season series from the Brewers four games to three, then beat Milwaukee in seven games in the National League championship series.

Saturday's Starting Arms

Stripling (0-1, 3.78) is 1/3 on quality starts this season. Last time out, Tuesday at St. Louis, he gave up four runs and five hits through five innings of a 4-0 Los Angeles defeat. And on the season he's allowed seven runs 14 hits through 16 2/3 innings. The Dodgers are 1-2 with Stripling this season, with the overs going 2-1.

Stripling missed the Brewers last season. His most recent action against Milwaukee came in 2017, and that was a very different Brewers lineup than the one he'll face Sunday.

Chacin (2-1, 4.24), by our strict standards, is 0/3 on quality starts this season, but he's actually pitched a little better than that stat might indicate. Last time out, Monday against the Angels, Chacin gave up three runs and two home runs through 6 1/3 innings of a 5-2 Milwaukee loss. And over his three starts, he's allowed eight runs and nine hits, four of which left the park, through 17 innings. The Brewers are 2-1 with Chacin this season, with the unders going 2-1.

Over three starts last season against Los Angeles, including two in the NLCS, Chacin allowed 10 earned runs and 11 hits, including four dingers, through 11 2/3 innings. Milwaukee went 1-2 in those games, with the unders going 2-1.

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Saturday's Batting Splits

Milwaukee is batting .242/.331/.424 against right-handed pitching this season.

Los Angeles is batting .290/.377/.549 against RH pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Brewers bullpen owns a 4.53 ERA this season, with a 1.21 WHIP and a 52/24 strikeouts/walks ratio.

The Dodgers bullpen owns a 5.08 ERA this season, with a 1.34 WHIP and a 62/21 K/BB ratio.

Totals Report

  • The unders are 8-6-1 in Brewers games this season.
  • The overs are 11-5 in Dodgers games this season.
  • The overs are 7-2 in games played at Dodger Stadium this season.
  • The unders are 8-7-1 over the last 16 Brewers-Dodgers games, stretching back to the beginning of last season and including last year's NLCS.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Prdiction 4/14/19

Some signs point toward Los Angeles for this game, hence, apparently, the line and the movement. But the Dodgers are cold, with six straight losses, and we're never afraid of betting against the flow. We're going with the Brewers and the value here at the underdog price.

Free Pick: 
Take the Brewers +135
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