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National League playoff contenders meet when the Giants and Brewers open a four-game weekend series out by McCovey Cove Thursday night. Defending NL Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes goes for Milwaukee here against a hot Carlos Rodon for San Francisco. Who do we like here for our <b>free MIL/SF pick</b>?
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MLB Betting Odds<br />
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Thursday's baseball betting lines opened the Brewers and Burnes at around -115 over the Giants and Rodon, with an over/under of 6.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
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Brewers-Giants MLB Betting Preview<br />
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Milwaukee just split two games up in Minnesota, winning Tuesday 6-3 but losing Wednesday 4-1 on a Twins three-run homer in the bottom of the ninth. Just before that, the Brewers lost two of three games at home to Pittsburgh, and just before that, they lost two of three at home to the Cubs. Going back a bit further, Milwaukee is 0-2-2 over its last four series and 5-7 over its last 12 games. Nonetheless, at 49-40 overall, the Brewers still lead the NL Central by two games over second-place St. Louis. San Francisco, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from Arizona, rallying late to win Wednesday'sWednesday's series rubber match 4-3. Just before that, the Giants split four games at San Diego, and just before that, they lost two of three at Arizona. Going back a bit further, San Francisco is only 1-4-2 over its last seven series and 7-15 over its last 22 games. At 45-42 overall, the Giants trail the first-place Dodgers by 12 games in the NL West but only sit one game back of the Cardinals in the battle for the No. 3 spot in the NL wild-card standings. This series is the second meeting between these teams this season; back in April, they squeezed in a one-off game in Milwaukee, a 4-2 San Francisco victory.
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Thursday's Pitching Match-Up<br />
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<a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/69198&quot; title="Carlos Rodon Pitching Game Logs">Lefty Rodon</a> is 10/17 on quality starts this season and five for his last six. Last Saturday, he held the Padres to one run and three hits through a full nine innings, with two walks and 12 strikeouts, in a 3-1 Giants win. And over his last six starts, he's allowed just seven runs and 22 hits through 41 innings, with ten walks against 49 whiffs. San Francisco is only 8-9 with Rodon this season, but that might be as much as five games worse than they should be, based on his performances. In his most recent outing against the Brewers, while with the White Sox last season, Rodon allowed two runs and four hits through four frames of a 6-1 ChiSox defeat. <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/213463&quot; title="Corbin Burnes Pitching Game Stats">Burnes</a> is a super solid 13/17 on quality starts this year, working on a run of five in a row. Last Wednesday, he held the Cubs scoreless on three hits through seven innings, with one walk against ten strikeouts, although the Brewers lost that game 2-1. And over his last five starts, he's allowed just six runs and 16 hits through 33 2/3 innings, with nine walks against 42 whiffs. Milwaukee is 10-7 with Burnes this season, but that's probably three games worse than they should be. Over three career starts against San Francisco, two last year, and that game back in April of this season, Burnes allowed two runs and ten hits through 19 2/3 innings, with three walks and 25 K'sK's. The Brewers won two of those three games, and all three games played under their totals.
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Splits With the Sticks<br />
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Milwaukee is batting .223 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .310 team OBP and a .370 team slugging percentage. The Brewers have also been held to three runs or less five times over their last nine games. San Francisco is slashing .234/.319/.388 against right-handed pitching. The Giants are also running seriously hot and cold, scoring 12 and 13 runs recently but also three or less six times over their last ten games.
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The Bullpens<br />
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The San Francisco bullpen owns a 4.20 ERA this season, along with a 1.37 WHIP. The Milwaukee pen owns a 3.60 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. But closer Hader is struggling lately, giving up six runs over his last five appearances, covering four innings.
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<p><section></p>
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<span style="font-size:14px; color:#008000;">Get more details:</span> <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1603316">MIlwaukee at San Francisco 7/14/22 Betting Stats</a>
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MLB Betting Trends<br />
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The Brewers are 28-21 on the road this season and 14-14 against left-handed starters.
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The Giants are 23-21 at home and 28-32 against right-handed starters.
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Totals Report<br />
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The Over is 43-39 in Brewers games this season.
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The Over is also 43-39 in Giants games.
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The Over is 22-18 at Oracle Park this season.
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The Under is a combined 17-13 with Rodon and Burnes this season.
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