Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview & Predictions

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview & Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: August 17, 10:10 pm
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mil +130/LAD -150
Total: 8.5

As the Brewers aim to halt their losing streak, the Dodgers seek to secure a sweep at home. Lance Lynn, the new addition to the Dodgers, is slated to face off against Corbin Burnes from the Brewers.

MLB Betting Odds

At the outset, the betting odds favored the Dodgers with Lynn on the mound at around -130 against Burnes and the Brewers, with the over/under set at 8.5 runs. Early betting action saw the Dodgers' odds increase to -150.

Brewers-Dodgers Betting Preview

After securing victory in the first two games of the series, the Dodgers are on a winning streak, aiming for a sweep. Los Angeles claimed a 6-2 victory in the series opener and followed up with a 7-1 win in the second game. These victories extended the Dodgers' winning streak to ten games. With an overall record of 73-46, the Dodgers maintain a comfortable lead of ten games in the NL West and are within 4.5 games of Atlanta in the battle for the best record in the National League. Conversely, the Brewers' recent losses follow a four-game winning streak. Over their last 12 games, the Brewers have secured victory in seven, holding an overall record of 65-56 and leading the NL Central by 2.5 games over the second-place Cubs. In their head-to-head matchups, the Dodgers lead the Brewers with four wins against one.

Thursday's Pitching Match-Up

Los Angeles Dodgers - Lance Lynn

After encountering challenges when he was with the White Sox earlier in the season, Lynn has shown some improvement since joining the Dodgers. Over his last three starts for the Dodgers, he has allowed only four earned runs and 13 hits in 18 innings, along with four walks and 22 strikeouts. Although his record with the White Sox was 8-13 this season, the Dodgers hold a perfect 3-0 record with him.

Milwaukee Brewers - Corbin Burnes

Burnes, with seven quality starts in his last eight outings, aims to rebound after a challenging performance against Cincinnati. Despite conceding five runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings, Milwaukee managed to secure a 7-6 victory in extra innings. In his previous seven starts, Burnes allowed just ten runs and 17 hits in 45 innings, alongside 17 walks and 52 strikeouts. The Brewers have maintained a record of 14-10 with Burnes this season, including a 7-2 performance in his last nine starts. However, Burnes struggled in his last two starts against Los Angeles, giving up seven earned runs and 11 hits in 9 1/3 innings. These games resulted in a split between the two teams.

Hitting and Bullpen Analysis

Hitting Stats

The Brewers exhibit a batting average of .232 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .312 team OBP and a .373 team slugging percentage. This performance positions the Brewers' lineup among the bottom ranks in Baseball in this category. In contrast, the Dodgers display a strong performance with a slash line of .255/.338/.451 against right-handed pitching, placing them among the top five lineups in Baseball in this split.

Bullpen Performance

The Dodgers' bullpen has steadily improved over the season, maintaining a 4.00 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a 2.70 K/BB ratio. Similarly, the Brewers' bullpen demonstrates a 3.85 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a 2.70 K/BB ratio. Both bullpens are formidable and contribute to their respective teams' performances.

MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report

MLB Betting Trends

On the road, the Brewers hold a record of 32-29 this season and maintain a 49-36 performance against right-handed starters. At home, the Dodgers exhibit a strong record of 40-20 and maintain a performance of 53-28 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

The Brewers' games this season have seen the unders prevail with a record of 63-53. Conversely, the Dodgers' games have favored the overs with a record of 68-45. Dodger Stadium has witnessed a preference for overs, with a record of 31-26. Notably, Burnes' games have favored the overs with a record of 17-8.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Free Pick 8/17/23

While the Dodgers are on a winning streak and Lynn has shown improvement, Burnes possesses the potential for a rebound performance following a challenging outing. Additionally, Milwaukee's bullpen may hold an advantage in comparison to the Dodgers'. Given these factors, along with the underdog price, we anticipate a strong performance from Burnes and the Brewers in this matchup.
 

Free Pick: Take the Brewers +130
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