Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Free Pick & Predictions

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Free Pick & Predictions

Cliff Knox
Date: August 28, 7:00 pm
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mil +110/Cubs -130
Total: 9

The Brewers and the Cubs, square off in a captivating three-game rivalry series at Wrigley Field on Monday night. Veteran right-hander Jameson Taillon will take the mound for the Cubs, facing off against lefty Wade Miley from the Brew Crew.

MLB Betting Odds

Early odds for this exciting game opened at nearly a pick 'em situation, coupled with a projected total of nine runs. Subsequent betting shifts leaned toward the Cubs as favorites at -130.

Brewers-Cubs Betting Preview

Milwaukee enters this game with a remarkable momentum, having recently swept three games against San Diego over the weekend. Their Sunday's series finale win against San Diego was particularly impressive as they rallied from behind to secure a 10-6 victory. Notably, the Brewers have maintained their winning streak by sweeping two games from Minnesota and three games from Texas. With this eight-game winning spree, they are marching into Monday night's clash. The Brewers hold a commendable 73-57 record, placing them in the first position in the NL Central, with a comfortable four-game lead over the second-place Cubs. On the other side, the Cubs are riding high on a wave of success, having secured victories in three out of four games at Pittsburgh. Their Sunday series finale against Pittsburgh ended with a resounding 10-1 victory. The Cubs have been in excellent form, recently claiming victories in two out of three games against both Detroit and Kansas City. This triumphant run leaves them with a commendable 69-61 overall record, solidifying their position as the second-best team in the National League wild-card standings. It's worth noting that Milwaukee has a slight edge in the season series against the Cubs, leading with four wins out of seven games.

Monday's Pitching Match-Up

Jameson Taillon, the seasoned right-hander, is showing a bit of inconsistency, with one quality start in his last three outings. In his recent appearance against the Tigers, he allowed four runs, all coming from one swing of the bat, across 5 2/3 innings. Unfortunately, over his past three starts, he has given up 14 runs and 18 hits in 14 2/3 innings. The Cubs have a record of 9-14 with Taillon this season, with an impressive 6-2 performance since the All-Star break. In his previous two starts against Milwaukee, one with the Yankees last season and another earlier this season, Taillon conceded seven runs and 11 hits in a span of nine innings, resulting in losses for his teams in both instances. Wade Miley, the lefty for the Brew Crew, has a record of 1-4 on quality starts since the All-Star break. Although not experiencing the best run, his recent performance against the Twins showed promise, allowing three runs and five hits over five innings in a 7-3 Brewers victory. Over his last four starts, Miley has given up eight earned runs and 17 hits in 20 innings. The Brewers have achieved a 10-7 record with Miley this season, and despite a 1-3 record in his last four starts, it's important to note that the blame doesn't rest solely on his shoulders. Miley's upcoming start against the Cubs will mark his first appearance against them since 2021.

Splits With the Sticks

Milwaukee's batting prowess against right-handed pitching remains modest, boasting a .233 average, a .315 team OBP, and a .374 team slugging percentage. This places them among the lower half of teams in baseball in this category. On the other hand, Chicago showcases a stronger slash line of .256/.321/.426 against left-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

Comparing the bullpens, the Cubs exhibit a bullpen ERA of 3.96 for the season, accompanied by a 1.29 WHIP and a 2.34 K/BB ratio. The Brewers' bullpen maintains a slightly better ERA at 3.76, coupled with a 1.23 WHIP and a 2.74 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

On the road, Milwaukee holds a commendable record of 35 wins out of 65 games, coupled with a remarkable 56-37 record against right-handed starters. Chicago, meanwhile, has shown strength at home, securing 35 wins out of 65 games, and maintaining a solid 23-19 record against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

In terms of totals, Milwaukee's games have leaned towards the under, with 66 out of 125 games favoring the under. For the Cubs, the overs have had a slight edge, with 69 out of 126 games leaning towards the over. At Wrigley Field, the overs have dominated, with 37 out of 66 games favoring the over.

Brewers at Cubs Prediction 8/28/23

In this interesting match-up, Miley gains an edge in the pitching duel, showing more consistency than Taillon in recent times. Chicago, however, holds an advantage in the splits with the sticks. On the other hand, Milwaukee's bullpen holds a slight edge. The Brewers enter as underdogs, and this betting value makes them an appealing choice. Considering these factors, I am inclined to favor Milwaukee in this game.
 

Free Pick: Take Milwaukee
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