Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers Total Pick

Miami Marlins vs. Texas Rangers Total Pick

Darin Zank
Date: August 4, 8:05 pm
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mia +120/Tex -140
Runline: 8.5

Marlins-Rangers Betting Preview

Playoff contenders who added pieces at the trade deadline - some bigger than others - meet when the Rangers and Marlins begin a three-game series in Arlington Friday night. Jordan Montgomery, newly acquired by the Rangers, makes his first start for Texas against fellow left-hander Jesus Luzardo for Miami.

MLB Betting Odds

Friday’s baseball betting market opened with Texas and Montgomery at around -135 over Miami and Luzardo, with an over/under set at 8.5 runs. Early betting action then shifted the odds in favor of the Rangers to -140.

Team Analysis

Miami Marlins

The Marlins are 1-1-1 over their last three series and 4-4 over their last eight games. At 58-52 overall, they currently trail Cincinnati by a half-game in the battle for the third and final National League wild-card spot. The Marlins are batting a ML-best .311 against left-handed pitching this season.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers are 1-3 over their last four series and 5-7 over their last 12 games. With a record of 63-46 overall, they lead the AL West by a game and a half over the second-place Astros. Texas is slashing .285/.358/.461 against left-handed pitching.

Pitching Match-Up

Texas Rangers - Jordan Montgomery

Montgomery, previously with St. Louis, is 10/21 on quality starts this season. In his last two starts, he gave up a combined 10 runs, leading to a Cardinals loss in both games. However, his game-by-game performances suggest a slightly better record than the Cardinals' win-loss record when he starts.

Miami Marlins - Jesus Luzardo

Luzardo is 11/22 on quality starts this year. In his most recent start against Detroit, he gave up four runs and seven hits in 4 2/3 innings, but the Marlins came back to win that game 8-6. Over his seven starts prior to that, he allowed just seven earned runs and 28 hits in 42 2/3 innings, with 11 walks against 55 strikeouts.

Hitting and Bullpen Analysis

Hitting Stats

The Marlins are batting a ML-best .311 against left-handed pitching this season, while the Rangers are slashing .285/.358/.461 against left-handed pitching. Both line-ups are among the top three in baseball in this split, which suggests potential for higher scoring in the game.

Bullpen Performance

The Rangers' bullpen owns a 4.73 ERA this season, along with a 1.25 WHIP and a 2.97 K/BB ratio. On the other hand, the Marlins' bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a 2.84 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report

MLB Betting Trends

The Marlins are 24-28 on the road this season and 13-12 against left-handed starters. Meanwhile, the Rangers are 37-20 at home and 18-11 against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

The unders are 55-51 in Marlins games this season, while the overs are 54-46 in Rangers games. At Globe Life Field, the totals are 31-19 this season.

Marlins vs. Rangers O/U Pick 8/4/23

Considering the two line-ups rank among the best in baseball against left-handed pitching, and both bullpens have some vulnerabilities, we're betting on the over 8.5 runs in this game. Additionally, the Rangers just welcomed Seager back from injury, which adds to the offensive potential.

Free Pick: Take the Over 8.5
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