Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds

Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Free MLB Picks - Betting Odds

The Green Man
Date: April 23, 4:40 pm
Location: Petco Park
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Marlins -115 / Padres +105
Total: 8.5

<p>
The 9-8 Miami Marlins battle the 8-11 San Diego Padres in the 3rd game of a three-game set at Petco Park San Diego, California today. The first pitch at Petco Park is scheduled for 4:40 PM ET. The visiting Marlins get the favorite roll being listed at -115 on the moneyline with the total being offered up at 8.5 runs.
</p>
<p>
In Game 2 of this series yesterday the Marlins beat the Padres 6-3. In11 innings. In the game the Marlins scored six runs on nine hits and the Padres scored three runs on seven hits. In the game Miami’s Giancarlo Stanton had two HR and while starter Dan Straily took a no decision he struck out 14.
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<p>
This season the Marlins rank tied for 11th in the Majors in runs scored and 18th in team ERA.
</p>
<p>
The Padres rank tied for 26th in the Majors in runs scored and 27th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Miami: Tom Koehler (0-1, 5.40 ERA)<br />
San Diego: Luis Perdomo (0-0, 8.44 ERA)
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<p>
Tom Koehler gets the call for the Marlins and in his last start he was not sharp giving up five earned runs in four innings of work in a 6-1 loss to the Atlanta Braves. Miami has lost his last two starts where he has given up eight earned runs in 10 innings. Koehler has success facing San Diego, as in four career appearances, including three starts, he is 3-0 with a solid ERA of 2.14. Still, the Marlins have only won one of his last 11 starts overall and one of his last six road starts.
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<p>
Luis Perdomo gets the starting nod for the Padres in this series finale and his last start was his first of the season and not a good one going five innings and giving up five earned runs, but the lineup bailed him out in a 7-6 win over the San Francisco Giants. He has been on the DL since his first start, which came on April 7th. Last season Perdomo was a rookie and faced the Marlins twice winning both starts. One of his better starts last season was facing Miami where he went the distance only giving up six hits. The Padres are 6-2 in his last eight starts facing a team with a winning record.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Padres are 11-5 in their last16 home games against the Marlins.
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<p>
In the last 11 games between these teams in San Diego the Over record is 7-3-1.
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<p>
In the last 5 games between these teams in San Diego the Over record is 3-1-1.
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<p>
This season the Padres are 5-3 at home and the Marlins are 5-6 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Miami Marlins: 9-8 SU / O/U 9-6 / Run Line W/L 9-8<br />
San Diego Padres: 8-11 SU / O/U 8-10 / Run Line W/L 10-9
</p>
<h2>
Miami at San Diego Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
MIA is 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter
</li>
<li>
MIA is 5-13 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
</li>
<li>
MIA has an Over record of 14-6-4 in their last 24 road games
</li>
<li>
SD is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
</li>
<li>
SD is 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter
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<li>
SD has an Over record of 6-1-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>MARLINS</b><br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Jeff Locke 10-day DL (3/30) ( Bicep )<br />
[P] 04/02/2017 - Odrisamer Despaign 10-day DL (3/30) ( Oblique )
</p>
<p>
<b>PADRES</b><br />
[LF] 04/08/2017 - Alex Dickerson 60-day DL (3/30) ( Back )<br />
[P] 04/19/2017 - Jarred Cosart 10-day DL (4/18) ( Hamstring )<br />
[P] 04/22/2017 - Luis Perdomo is expected to start Sunday vs. Miami Marlins ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Christian Friedric 10-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Colin Rea 60-day DL (2/19) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Robbie Erlin 60-day DL (3/30) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 03/31/2017 - Buddy Baumann 10-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/01/2017 - Carter Capps 10-day DL(3/31) ( Elbow )
</p>

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

The Marlins look for the series win today after dropping the first game of the series and winning the 2nd. Koehler has not pitched well in his last two starts, but he has had success facing the Padres in his career and he will have a good outing today. Not only have the Marlins won eight of his last starts facing a team with a losing record, but also have won seven of his last eight starts facing teams from the NL West. The Miami bats will get to the recently activated Perdomo and they will win this game and take the series.

Free Pick: Take the Marlins -115
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