Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick

April 10, 7:45 PM EDT

Betting Odds

Cardinals -110/Dodgers +100

St. Louis took the first two games of this four-game series with Los Angeles, winning as a home dog Tuesday night. The Cardinals are now listed as slight favorites for the third game of this series Wednesday. Who do we like for our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Wednesday's MLB betting odds opened St. Louis and Flaherty at around -115 over LA and Maeda, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped that line about a nickel, to around -110 depending on the betting site, and the total to 8.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Set-Up

St. Louis took the opener of this series Monday night 4-3, then won Tuesday 4-0. The Cardinals won as -110 favorites Monday, then again as +105 dogs Tuesday.

LA batters went 1-6 with runners in scoring position Monday night, then 0-9 Tuesday.

Also, Monday's game played under a total of eight runs, and Tuesday's game played under 8.5.

St. Louis now owns a three-game winning streak.

Last year the Cardinals took the season series from the Dodgers four games to three.

Wednesday's Starting Arms

Flaherty (0-0, 3.86) is 0/2 on quality starts this season. First, he gave up four runs and seven hits through 4 1/3 innings against Milwaukee, although St. Louis won that game 9-5. Then last Friday he held San Diego scoreless on six hits through five innings of a game the Cardinals eventually lost 5-3. But he needed 98 pitches to get those 15 outs and was pulled three outs short of a QS.

So St. Louis is 1-1 with Flaherty this season, with the overs going 2-0.

In two starts last year against the Dodgers Flaherty allowed just two runs and five hits through 12 innings, with 18 strikeouts. The Cardinals split those two games, with the unders going 0-2.

Maeda (2-0, 3.09) is one-for-two on quality starts this season. First, he held Arizona to three runs and five hits through 6 2/3 innings, although three of those hits left the ballpark. The Dodgers won that game anyway 18-5. Then last Friday he managed to hold Colorado to one run through five innings, on four hits and four walks, in a 10-6 Los Angeles victory. So LA is 2-0 with Maeda this season, as are the overs.

Maeda missed St. Louis last year; in two starts against the Cardinals in 2017 he allowed six runs through nine innings, but the Dodgers won both those games.

Wednesday's Batting Splits

Los Angeles is batting .299/.404/.562 against right-handed pitching this season. The Dodgers lead the National League in scoring at over seven runs per game but have scored just three runs through the first two games of this series.

St. Louis is batting .234/.315/.455 against RH pitching this season. The Cardinals have also scored more than four runs just three times in 11 games this season.

The Bullpens

The Los Angeles bullpen has allowed 27 earned runs on 50 hits and 15 walks through 50 1/3 innings of work this season.

The St. Louis bullpen has allowed 15 ER on 23 hits and 30 walks (most in the Majors) through 43 innings this season.

Dodgers at Cardinals Totals Report

  • The overs are 8-4 in Dodgers games this season.
  • The overs are 6-4-1 in Cardinals games this season.
  • The unders finished 5-2 in Dodgers-Cardinals games last season.
  • The unders finished 41-37-3 in games played at Busch Stadium last season, which averaged 8.6 runs per.

Dodgers at Cardinals Prediction 4/10/19

This game sets up as a play on St. Louis on the MLB streak betting theory, but we do not always abide by that. Maeda is perfectly capable of out-pitching Flaherty, and while LA struggled mightily with RISP the first two games of this series, we expect a little better luck Wednesday.

Free Pick: 
We're taking the Dodgers +100

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