Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick 4/18/19

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick 4/18/19

Darin Zank
Date: April 18, 8:10 pm
Location: Miller Park
TV: SPORTSNET

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Dodgers -120/Brewers +110
Total: 9.5

<p><em><br />
It's a rematch of last year National League championship series when the Dodgers and Brewers hook up for a four-game series in Beer City beginning Thursday night. Who do we like for our free MLB pick on Game 1?<br />
</em></p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Thursday's MLB betting odds opened Milwaukee and Davies at around -110 over LA and Urias, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then flipped the Dodgers into -120 favorites.
</p>
<p>
Los Angeles could also be found getting around +140 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
</p>
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<h2>
Dodgers vs. Brewers Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Los Angeles just swept three games at home from Cincinnati this week, winning Wednesday's series finale 3-2. So the Dodgers now own a four-game winning streak, after losing six in a row.
</p>
<p>
LA pitching has allowed just seven runs total over its last four games.
</p>
<p>
At 12-8 overall the Dodgers lead the NL West by a half-game over second-place San Diego.
</p>
<p>
Milwaukee, meanwhile, just took two of three games at home from rival St. Louis, missing out on the sweep by losing Wednesday afternoon 6-3. Nonetheless, the Brewers have won two series in a row, going 4-2 over their last six games.
</p>
<p>
At 12-7 overall Milwaukee leads the NL Central by a half-game over second-place Pittsburgh.
</p>
<p>
This series is the second encounter between these teams this season; last weekend the Brewers took two of three games from the Dodgers out in LA.
</p>
<h2>
Thursday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Davies is only 1/3 on quality starts this season but four outs away from being 3/3. Last Saturday he held this Los Angeles team to one run and eight hits through seven innings of a 4-1 Milwaukee victory, and just before that he held the Cubs to two unearned runs through 5 2/3 innings of a 4-2 Brewers win. On the season Davies has allowed only three earned runs and 17 hits through 17 2/3 innings.
</p>
<p>
Milwaukee is 3-0 with Davies this season, with the unders going 3-0.
</p>
<p>
Over his last three starts against the Dodgers, two in 2017 and the one last week, Davies allowed just one run and 14 hits through 20 innings. The Brewers won all three of those games, and all three games played under their totals.
</p>
<p>
Lefty Urias is 0/3 on quality starts this season. Last Friday he gave up five ER and six hits, including a couple of dingers, in an 8-5 loss to this Milwaukee outfit. And just before that he gave up three runs in less than four innings against Colorado, although the Dodgers won that game 12-6. On the season Urias has allowed eight ER and 13 hits through 13 2/3 innings.
</p>
<p>
Los Angeles is 1-2 with Urias this season, with the overs going 2-1.
</p>
<p>
Last Friday's outing was Urias' first against the Brewers since 2016.
</p>
<h2>
Thursday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Los Angeles is batting .283/.369/.520 against right-handed pitching this season.
</p>
<p>
Milwaukee is batting .308/.372/.556 against left-handed pitching this season.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Dodgers bullpen owns a 4.66 ERA this season, with a 1.23 WHIP and a 71/22 strikeouts/walks ratio.
</p>
<p>
The Brewers bullpen owns a 4.26 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and a 75/30 K/BB ratio this season.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
The overs are 11-9 in Dodgers games this season.
</li>
<li>
The unders are 2-1 in Dodgers-Brewers games this season.
</li>
<li>
The overs are 6-3 in games played at Miller Park this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href=" https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1074638<br />
">LA Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Match-Up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Dodgers at Brewers Prediction 04/18/2019

We'll give Milwaukee the edge in the pitching match-up for Thursday, and the Brewers are tough at home. Plus, they're getting the underdog price. We like Milwaukee for our free MLB pick for Thursday.

Free Pick: Take the Brewers +110
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