Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Odds, Analysis, Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants Odds, Analysis, Predictions

Darin Zank
Date: April 12, 9:45 pm
Location: Oracle Park
TV: NBCSBA

Betting Odds

Moneyline: LAD -165/SF +145
Total: 7.5

<p>
After splitting the first two games of this NL West rivalry series in San Francisco, the Giants and Dodgers hook up for a rubber match Wednesday night. Lefty Clay Kershaw gets the pill for LA here against Alex Cobb for San Francisco. Which way are we going for our free baseball betting pick?
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<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
Wednesday's baseball betting market opened with Los Angeles at around -170 over San Francisco, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then dipped the Dodgers to -165.
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<h2>
Dodgers-Giants MLB Betting Preview<br />
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<p>
Los Angeles took the opener of this series Monday night 9-1, but San Francisco grabbed Tuesday's game 5-0. The Dodgers won Monday as -155 favorites with Julio Urias and covered against the run line at a price of +110. The Giants then won Tuesday as +140 underdogs. With Tuesday's win, San Francisco is 2-1 over its last three games. With Tuesday's loss, Los Angeles is 1-4 over its last five games. The Giants played 81-81 last year and missed the playoffs. Then over the off-season, they parted ways with some familiar names, added a few, but are they any better? This year San Francisco is playing against a "season wins" over/under of 81. The Dodgers won 111 games last year but lost to San Diego in the NLDS. Over the winter LA also shed some veteran talent, replacing it mostly with other veteran talent. This year the Blue Crew is playing against a wins O/U of 96. Los Angeles took the season series from the Giants last year, 15 games to four.
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<h2>
Wednesday's Pitching Match-Up<br />
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This pitching match-up is a rematch of two games from last season, both Dodgers victories. <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/40145&quot; title="Alex Cobb Pitching Game Stats">Cobb</a> is 1/2 on quality starts this season. First, he gave up two runs - one earned - through only 3 2/3 innings against the Yankees, needing 76 pitches to get 11 outs. San Francisco won that game anyway, 7-5. Then he bounced back last Friday, albeit against a weak Kansas City team, when he allowed just two runs through seven innings, with zero walks and six strikeouts, although the Giants lost that game 3-1. Last year San Francisco only played 10-18 with Cobb, but that was probably three games worse, at least, than they should have played, based on his performance. Over four starts against the Dodgers last season Cobb allowed 12 runs and 23 hits through 21 2/3 innings, with 11 walks and 21 whiffs. The Giants lost all four of those games. <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/39783&quot; title="Clayton Kershaw Pitching Game Logs">Kershaw</a> is also 1/2 on quality starts this year. First, he held Arizona to one run through six innings, with zero walks against nine K's, in a 10-1 LA win. But last Friday, those same Diamondbacks got him for four runs and two home runs through six frames of a 6-3 Dodgers defeat. Last year Los Angeles played 15-7 with Kershaw, and that's about what they should have been, based on his performance. Over four starts against San Francisco last season, Kershaw allowed nine ER and 16 hits through 18 1/3 innings, with five walks against 22 strikeouts. The Dodgers won three of those four games.
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<h2>
Splits With the Sticks<br />
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Yes, it's early, but for what it's worth ... Los Angeles is batting .252 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .350 team OBP and a .503 team slugging percentage. The Dodgers have also scored at least five runs eight times through 12 games this season. San Francisco is "slashing" .197/.260/.273 against left-handed pitching this season. The Giants have also been held to three runs or less five times over their last nine games.
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
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The San Francisco bullpen owns a 5.54 ERA this season, along with a 1.39 WHIP and a 2.53 K/BB ratio. The LA pen owns a 4.70 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a 4.00 K/BB ratio.
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<h2>
MLB Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
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The Dodgers played 79-35 against right-handed starters last year.
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The Giants played 29-26 against left-handed starters last year.
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All six of the Dodgers' wins this season have come by at least two runs.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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The overs are 6-5 in Dodgers games this season. The overs are also 6-5 in Giants games. The totals split 38-38 at Oracle Park last season.
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Dodgers at Giants Moneyline Bet 4/12/23

Although it's close, Kershaw gets the checkmark in the pitching match-up here. From there, we give Los Angeles edges in both the splits with the sticks and the bullpens. So we like the Dodgers. We also like taking chances. So in, knowing they'll bat nine times, we'll play LA against the run line at a price of +105.

Free Pick: Take the LA Dodgers -1.5
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