Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Betting Preview

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Betting Preview

Darin Zank
Date: August 6, 6:29 pm
Location: Petco Park
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: LAD -123/SD +113
Total: 9

Dodgers-Padres Betting Preview

After splitting the first two games of this four-game NL West rivalry series, the Dodgers and Padres meet again Sunday night in San Diego. Rich Hill, who was recently acquired by the Padres, takes the mound for the home team against recently acquired Lance Lynn for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday’s baseball betting market opened with the Dodgers and Lynn at around -130 over the Padres and Hill, with an over/under set at nine runs. Early betting action then shifted the odds slightly in favor of the Padres, dropping LAD to -123 on the moneyline.

Team Analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are 5-2 over their last seven games and lead the NL West by three games over second-place San Francisco. They are batting .238 against left-handed pitching this season.

San Diego Padres

The Padres are 6-2 over their last eight games but still trail Cincinnati by three games in the battle for the third and final National League wild-card spot. They are slashing .231/.325/.400 against right-handed pitching.

Pitching Match-Up

San Diego Padres - Rich Hill

Hill is making his first start for his new team, the Padres, after being acquired in a trade with Pittsburgh earlier this week. He's 6/22 on quality starts this season and pitched on a short leash in his last 11 games. His most recent start against the Dodgers, back in 2021 while with the Mets, resulted in three solo home runs through five innings and a loss.

Los Angeles Dodgers - Lance Lynn

Lynn is making his second start for the Dodgers after coming over in a trade with the White Sox last week. In his most recent start against San Diego, last year while with the ChiSox, Lynn allowed just one run and four hits through seven innings and picked up the win. However, his performances with the White Sox have been inconsistent lately.

Hitting and Bullpen Analysis

Hitting Stats

The Dodgers are batting .238 against left-handed pitching this season, while the Padres are slashing .231/.325/.400 against right-handed pitching. Based on these stats, the Dodgers have a slight edge with the sticks.

Bullpen Performance

The Padres' bullpen owns a 3.93 ERA this season, along with a 1.28 WHIP and a 2.32 K/BB ratio. On the other hand, the Dodgers' bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a 2.58 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends and Totals Report

MLB Betting Trends

The Dodgers are 29-25 on the road this season but only 15-18 against left-handed starters. Meanwhile, the Padres are 29-26 at home but 33-39 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

The overs are 64-39 in Dodgers games this season, while the unders are 60-44 in Padres games. In the Dodgers-Padres games this season, the unders are 6-2. At Petco Park, the totals are 30-21 this season.

Dodgers vs. Padres Free Pick 8/6/23

Considering the pitching match-up appears to be a wash as neither pitcher is performing well this season, we look at other factors. The Dodgers have a slight edge with the sticks, while the Padres have a better bullpen. Considering the line should be closer to a pick ‘em, we like the value with the Padres catching an underdog price.
 

Free Pick: Take San Diego +113
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