Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs Anlysis & Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs Anlysis & Predictions

Jeff Scott
Date: April 20, 7:40 pm
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: LAD +107/CHC -117
Total: 11un -115

<p>The underperforming Dodgers are set to face the unexpectedly strong Cubs in a four-game weekend series at Wrigley Field, starting Thursday night. Jameson Taillon is set to pitch for the Cubs, while Michael Grove takes the mound for Los Angeles.</p>
<p>How should you place your bets for this free baseball betting pick?</p>
<p>MLB Betting Odds</p>
<p>The betting lines for Thursday's game opened with Chicago favored at around -115 over Los Angeles, and an over/under of 10 runs. Early betting activity nudged the total up to 10.5, likely due to the forecasted wind blowing out to left field at Wrigley Field on Thursday night.</p>
<h2>Dodgers-Cubs Betting Preview </h2>
<p>The Dodgers recently lost two of three games at home to the Mets, dropping Wednesday's rubber match 5-3. Prior to that, they lost two of three games at home to the Cubs. Looking further back, Los Angeles has a 1-3 record over its last four series and a 4-8 record over its last 12 games.</p>
<p>On the other hand, the Cubs just completed a three-game sweep at Oakland, outscoring the A's 26-3. Before that, they won two of three games against the Dodgers in Los Angeles and two of three games against Seattle. The Cubs have a 4-0 record over their last four series and a 10-3 record over their last 13 games.</p>
<p>In the previous season, the Dodgers swept the Cubs in a seven-game series.</p>
<h2>Thursday's Pitching Match-Up </h2>
<p>The pitching duel between Taillon and Grove is a repeat of last Saturday's game, which resulted in a 2-1 victory for Los Angeles.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/79628&quot; title="Jameson Taillon Pitching Game Logs">Taillon</a> has yet to deliver a quality start this season, not lasting more than five innings in any game. Last Saturday, he held the Dodgers scoreless on two hits over five innings, with two walks and seven strikeouts. However, his bullpen lost the game in the bottom of the ninth in a 2-1 Cubs defeat. In his two starts before that, Taillon struggled against Milwaukee and Texas, allowing eight runs (seven earned) and 13 hits in nine innings across two Chicago losses.</p>
<p>The overs are 2-1 with Taillon this season.</p>
<p><a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/457129&quot; title="Michael Grove Pitching Game Logs">Grove</a>, too, has not produced a quality start this year. Last Saturday, he limited the Cubs to one run and two hits through 5 2/3 innings in the 2-1 Dodgers win. In his two starts prior to that, he was hit hard by Arizona and Colorado, surrendering 12 runs and 14 hits in less than eight innings.</p>
<p>The Dodgers have a 2-1 record with Grove this season, which is one game better than they should be based on his performances.</p>
<p>Last Saturday's game marked Grove's first-ever appearance against the Cubs.</p>
<h2>Splits With the Sticks</h2>
<p>The Dodgers are batting .242 against right-handed pitchers this season, with a .338 team OBP and a .460 team slugging percentage. They are currently missing regulars C Will Smith (DL) and OF Mookie Betts (personal time).</p>
<p>The Cubs are hitting .277/.346/.435 against right-handed pitching and have scored at least eight runs four times in their last eight games.</p>
<h2>The Bullpens</h2>
<p>The Cubs bullpen has a 3.67 ERA this season, along with a 1.14 WHIP and a 3.30 K/BB ratio this season.</p>
<p>In contrast, the Dodgers bullpen, considered one of the best in baseball last season, currently holds a 5.01 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and a 2.95 K/BB ratio.</p>
<h2>MLB Betting Trends</h2>
<p>Los Angeles is 8-5 against right-handed starters this season.<br />
Chicago is 7-5 against right-handed starters.</p>
<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>The totals are split 9-9 in Dodgers games this season.</li>
<li>The overs are 9-8 in Cubs games.</li>
<li>The unders are 5-4 at Wrigley Field this season.</li>
<li>The overs are a combined 4-2 with Taillon and Grove this season.</li>
</ul>

Dodgers vs Cubs Free 4/20/23

We give Taillon a slight edge in the pitching match-up, primarily due to our positive experience with him in recent seasons. Last year, the Yankees had a 24-8 record with him. From there, we give Chicago an advantage with the bats, as Los Angeles is missing a couple of key players, and the Cubs currently have the better bullpen. As a result, we're betting on the Chicago Cubs to win the opener of this series on Thursday night.

Free Pick: Take Chicago -117
Get $60 Free Picks