L.A. Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox World Series Game 1 Pick - Betting Odds

Date: 
October 23, 8:09 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Red Sox -150 / Dodgers +130
Total: 
7.5

MLB Betting Line

Game 1 of the World Series opened as high as -157 with a total of 7.5 runs, and while the total has not moved off of the 7.5, the money line has dropped to as low as -141 on some MLB boards. The Dodgers are listed +1.5 -165, and on the other side of the number, the Red Sox are at +145 giving the 1.5 runs.

Overview

In the NLCS game 7, the Dodgers advanced beating the Milwaukee Brewers 5-1.

The win was the Dodgers third in the last four games of the NLCS, and in this season's playoffs, they are 3-3 on the road. In their three wins in their previous four games, they only gave up a total of four runs while in the one loss they gave up seven runs.

In their last game closing out the ALCS, the Red Sox beat the Houston Astros 4-1 in Game 5. After losing Game 1 of the ALCS, the Red Sox won the next four games of the series. In the last four games of the series, they outscored Houston 27-14.

This season the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA and the Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored and 8th in team ERA.

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Head-To-Head

These teams have not met since the 2016 season. The Red Sox have won seven of their last 10 games facing the Dodgers and have won their last four home games against them.

Pitching Match-Up

L.A: Clayton Kershaw (9-5 2.73 ERA)
Boston: Chris Sale (12-4 2.44 ERA)

Kershaw’s last appearance was in Game 7 of the NLCS where he closed it out pitching a perfect inning of relief striking out two in the 9th inning. His previous start was in Game 5 of the NLCS where he was solid only giving up one earned run on three hits in seven innings of work in a 5-2 win. Kershaw's struggles in the playoffs in his career are well documented, and the Dodgers have won two of his three playoff starts this season where in the two wins he only gave up one earned run in 15 innings while in the one loss he gave up four earned runs in just three innings.

The three-time Cy Young winner Kershaw will be making his first career start at Boston in this game. In 28 career playoff appearances, including 22 starts, he is 9-8 with an ERA of 4.09. The Dodgers are 20-8 in Kershaw's last 28 interleague starts, and they are 36-15 in his previous 51 road starts.

Sale’s start in Game 1 was in jeopardy with a stomach illness he had in the ALCS, but he is ready to go in this game feeling much better. He has not pitched since October 13th where he started Game 1 of the ALCS giving up two earned runs on only one hit but walked four batters in the 7-2 Boston loss. The Red Sox have won one of his two playoffs starts where he gave up two earned runs in each outing, and he also pitched a perfect inning of relief in the ALDS facing the Yankees.

In five playoff appearances, including three starts, Sale is 1-2 with an ERA of 5.85. The Red Sox have won six of Sale's last eight home starts and have won 11 of his last 13 starts overall.

Dodgers at Red Sox MLB Betting Angles

The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Dodgers.

The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against the Dodgers.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

L.A. Dodgers: 99-75 SU / O/U 79-86 / Run Line W/L 79-95
Boston Red Sox: 115-56 SU / O/U 83-79 / Run Line W/L 98-73

Los Angeles at Boston MLB Key Betting Trends

  • LA is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games
  • LA is 15-7 in their previous 22 road games against a left-hand starter
  • LA has an Under record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games
  • BOS is 6-1 in their last 7 World Series home games
  • BOS is 13-3 in their previous 16 home games against a left-hand starter
  • BOS has an Over record of 15-5-2 in their last 22 games.

Key Player Injuries

DODGERS

[P] 10/08/2018 - Erik Goeddel 60-day DL (08/17) ( Elbow )
[P] 09/18/2018 - Daniel Hudson 60-day DL (08/25) ( Forearm )
[P] 09/03/2018 - Brock Stewart 60-day DL (09/03) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/10/2018 - Dennis Santana 60-day DL (06/05) ( Rotator Cuff )
[SS] 05/01/2018 - Corey Seager is out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tom Koehler 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )

RED SOX

[P] 10/07/2018 - Steven Wright is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[P] 09/27/2018 - Tyler Thornburg is out for season ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/02/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 60-day DL (05/30); is out for season ( Knee )
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )

Get more details: Los Angeles at Boston MLB Match-Up

World Series Game 1 Prediction 10/23/2018

The Dodgers are in the World Series for the second straight year and are looking for their first title since 1988. On the other side of the coin, the Red Sox are gunning for their 4th World Series title in the last 15 years. These teams have met once in the World Series way back in 1916 where the Red Sox beat the Dodgers. The Red Sox are rested for this series after taking down the Astros in five games in the ALCS while the Dodgers were taken to seven games in the NLCS. Manny Machado and Max Muncy have combined for five HR in the playoffs and Machado is batting .250 and Muncy is only batting .182 in the post-season.

Boston’s Mookie Betts led the Majors this season with a .346 average and also had 32 HR and 80 RBI, but in the playoffs, he is only batting .205 and has not gone “yard”. This Game 1 is a great pitching matchup between a couple of staff Aces and Kershaw has been great in two of his post-season starts and Sale has been decent in his two outings. That trend will continue in this game, which is sure to be a low scoring affair. I expect Kershaw to out-duel Sale, and the L.A. bullpen will do the rest. The Dodgers will take a close Game 1 in Boston and get home field advantage for the series in the process.

Free Pick: 
Take the Dodgers +130
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