LA Dodgers at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview & Prediction

LA Dodgers at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview & Prediction

Darin Zank
Date: July 18, 7:05 pm
Location: Oriole Park
TV: TBS

Betting Odds

Moneyline: LAD +110/Balt -120
Total: 9.5

After a comeback victory in the series opener on Monday night, the Los Angeles Dodgers (54-39) aim for another win as they face the Baltimore Orioles (57-36) again at Camden Yards on Tuesday night. Tyler Wells will take the mound for Baltimore, while Michael Grove will pitch for the Dodgers.

MLB Betting Odds

The initial MLB betting odds for this game opened as a pick 'em, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action shifted the odds slightly, with Baltimore becoming a -120 favorite.

Dodgers-Orioles Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers emerged victorious in the first game of this series on Monday night with a 6-4 win. Although they trailed 4-1 through five innings, the Dodgers rallied with a five-run outburst in the top of the sixth, led by Chris Taylor's grand slam. They held on to secure the victory.

Monday's game was a pick 'em in terms of betting odds and went over the total of 9.5 runs.

With Monday's win, the Dodgers have now won seven out of their last eight games. With a 54-39 overall record, they currently lead the NL West division by two games over the second-place San Francisco Giants.

The Baltimore Orioles saw their eight-game winning streak come to an end with Monday's loss. However, with a 57-36 overall record, they remain just one game behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the race for the best record in the American League.

This series marks the first meeting between the Dodgers and the Orioles since 2019.

Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up

Tyler Wells has recorded eight quality starts out of 17 this season, including three in his last three outings. In his most recent start ten days ago, he held the Minnesota Twins to two runs and six hits over six innings, contributing to a 6-2 victory for the Orioles. Over his last three starts, Wells has limited opponents to six runs and 15 hits across 18 innings. He has accumulated five walks and 15 strikeouts during that span.

Despite Wells' solid performances, the Orioles have posted an 11-7 record in games he has started this season. This record may be slightly worse than expected given his pitching performances.

This will be Wells' first career appearance against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Michael Grove has yet to record a quality start this year, making eight starts and three relief appearances. In his most recent outing ten days ago against the Los Angeles Angels in relief, he allowed four runs and six hits over six innings, earning the win in a 10-5 victory for the Dodgers. However, over his last three appearances, Grove has given up nine runs and 17 hits in 15 innings.

When Grove takes the mound, the Dodgers have achieved a 4-4 record this season. This record may be slightly better than expected given Grove's performance.

This will be Grove's first career appearance against the Baltimore Orioles.

Splits With the Sticks

The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded a .249 batting average against right-handed pitching this season, accompanied by a .333 team on-base percentage and a .447 team slugging percentage.

The Baltimore Orioles have produced a .252/.319/.427 slash line against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Orioles' bullpen owns a 3.76 ERA this season, with a 1.33 WHIP and a 2.85 strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB).

The Dodgers' bullpen has recorded a 4.24 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a 2.87 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers have performed well on the road this season, posting a 25-23 record. They have been successful against right-handed starting pitchers, going 43-25 in those matchups.

The Baltimore Orioles have been strong at home, with a 29-19 record. Additionally, they have performed well against right-handed starting pitchers, going 37-26 in those games.

Totals Report

The over has hit in 53 of the Dodgers' games this season, while the over has prevailed in 49 of the Orioles' games. Notably, the under has hit in 24 of the games played at Oriole Park this season.

Dodgers vs. Orioles Free Pick 7/18/23

Tyler Wells holds the advantage in the pitching match-up, and although the Los Angeles Dodgers may have a slight edge with their hitting, the Baltimore Orioles possess a slight advantage in the bullpen comparison. Therefore, it's understandable that the odds have shifted in favor of the Orioles. Additionally, after Monday's game slipped away from them, we expect the Orioles to bounce back with a strong performance on Tuesday night. Therefore, our free MLB pick is to bet on the Baltimore Orioles.

Free Pick: Take the Baltimore Orioles
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