Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians ALDS Game 3 Pick - Odds
MLB Betting Line
The Indians opened as a small -113 home favorite with a total of 8.5 runs and while the total hasn’t seen any movement Cleveland is now posted at -122. On the MLB betting board the run-line wager for this ALDS game is listed with the Astros +1.5 -210 and the Indians are at -1.5 +175..
Astros at Indians MLB Game Set-up
In Game 2 of this series the Astros took a 2-0 lead in the series with a 3-1 win. The Astros scored three runs on nine hits and the Indians scored one run on only three hits.
The Indians have their backs against the wall down 2-0 in this series where they have only totaled three runs in the two games. Cleveland looks to avoid the sweep in this series with a win in this game and they have not been swept in the playoffs since the 1954 World Series.
Overall, the Astros have won five of their last six games and their pitching has been great so far in the series only allowing three runs. Houston has lost eight of their last 11 playoff road games.
This season the Astros rank 6th in runs scored and 1st in team ERA and the Indians rank 3rd in runs scored and 9th in team ERA.
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This season, including this series, the Astros have won six of their nine games facing the Indians. However, the Indians are 15-7 in their last 22 home games against the Astros.
Pitching Match Up
Houston: Dallas Keuchel (12-11 3.74 ERA)
Cleveland: Mike Clevinger (13-8 3.02 ERA)
In Keuchel’s last start of the regular season he only went three innings and gave up one earned run on five hits in a 5-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles. After losing three straight with him on the hill where he gave up 10 earned runs in 16 innings the Astros have won his last two starts where he has totaled eight innings and gave up four earned runs. In back-to-back starts in May Keuchel faced the Indians with the Astros going 1-1 and he gave up six earned runs in 11 innings in the two outings.
In eight career appearances in the playoffs, including seven starts, Keuchel is 4-2 with an ERA of 3.24. The Astros are 9-2 in Keuchel’s last 11 road starts, but they have lost five of his last six starts facing a team with a winning record. The Astros have won four of Keuchel’s last five starts against the Indians.
In Clevinger’s last start of the regular season he had a good one giving up only one earned run on three hits in six 2/3 innings in a 14-6 win over the Kansas City Royals. The Indians have won five of his last six starts including his last three where he has only given up three earned runs 17 2/3 innings of work. Like Keuchel, Clevinger also went back-to-back facing the Astros in May where Cleveland lost both games and he gave up eight earned runs in 11 2/3 innings.
In Clevinger’s career in the post season he has lasted seven innings and gave up six runs and walked nine batters. The Indians have won Clevinger’s last six home starts, but they have lost four of his last five home starts facing a team with a winning record.
Houston at Cleveland MLB Betting Angles
The Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games against the Indians.
The Indians are 15-7 in their last 22 home games against the Astros.
In the last 6 games between these teams the Over record is 5-1.
In the last 4 games between these teams in Cleveland the total has gone Over every time.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
Houston Astros: 105-59 SU / O/U 70-85 / Run Line W/L 85-79
Cleveland Indians: 91-73 SU / O/U 77-76 / Run Line W/L 75-89
Astros at Indians MLB Key Betting Trends
HOU is 38-13 in their last 51 road games HOU is 3-8 in their last 11 road playoff games HOU has an Under record of 7-0 in their last 7 road games CLE is 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games CLE is 2-7 in their last 9 home games against a left-hand starter CLE has an Over record of 12-3-4 in their last 19 home games against a left-hand starter
Key Player Injuries
[LF] 05/21/2018 - Derek Fisher 10-day DL (05/20) ( Intestinal )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Brady Rodgers 10-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[CF] 08/09/2018 - Leonys Martin 60-day DL (08/09) ( Illness )
[CF] 07/28/2018 - Tyler Naquin 60-day DL (07/28) ( Hip )
[RF] 07/04/2018 - Lonnie Chisenhall 60-day DL (07/03) ( Calf )
[P] 06/20/2018 - Evan Marshall 10-day DL (06/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/04/2018 - Danny Salazar 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Cody Anderson 60-day DL (02/25) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Ryan Merritt 60-day DL (03/26) ( Knee )
[P] 03/26/2018 - James Hoyt 10-day DL (03/26) ( Oblique )
Get more details: Houston at Cleveland MLB Match-Up
Houston at Cleveland ALDS Game 3 Prediction 10/08/2018
The Indians are in a 2-0 hole in this series and while Clevinger did not pitch well in the two starts facing the Astros this season he finished the season strong allowing a combined three earned runs in his last three starts.. The Indians had the 3rd most hits in the Majors this season, but the bats have gone cold in this series with six hits with only one hit being for extra bases. Keuchel did not have the best ending to the season going 1-1 with an ERA of 5.76 in his last five starts, but won two games in the playoffs last season and in 2015. The lack of hits on the road aside I still expect that the Cleveland bats will wake up and the Indians will avoid the sweep tonight.
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