Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox ALDS Game 3 Odds - Free Pick

Date: 
October 8, 2:30 PM EDT
Location:
TV:

Betting Odds

Moneyline: 
Astros -145 / Red Sox +133
Total: 
9.5

It’s the 103-61 Houston Astros versus the 93-71 Boston Red Sox in the 3rd game of the ALDS at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts on Sunday October 8th. The first pitch at Fenway Park is scheduled for 2:30 PM ET.

In Game 2 of this playoff series the Astros beat the Red Sox 8-2. In the game the Astros scored eight runs on 12 hits and the Red Sox scored two runs on seven hits.

This season the Astros rank 1st in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.

The Red Sox ranks 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 4th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Houston: Brad Peacock (13-2 3.00 ERA)
Boston: Doug Fister (5-9 4.88 ERA)

Brad Peacock goes for the Astros in this game and in his last start of the regular season he gave up two earned runs in four innings in a 12-2 win over the Red Sox. The Astros won four of his last five starts including his last three where he gave up a total of five earned runs in 17 innings. Peacock’s only appearance against the Red Sox this season was in his last outing. He has not given up more than two earned runs in any of his last seven starts. After losing two straight road games with Peacock on the hill Houston has won his last two starts on the road, his season finale was in Boston, where he has totaled 11 innings and given up three earned runs.

Doug Fister gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in this Game 3 and in his last outing of the season he gave up three earned runs in five innings in a 3-2 loss to the Astros. The Red Sox had won his previous two starts with the lineup to thank, as in those outings he gave up eight earned runs in seven innings, but was given 15 runs of support. Fister’s last start was his lone one this season against the Astros, who he pitched for last season. Boston has lost four of Fister’s last five home starts and they have lost his last four starts against teams from the AL West. In his last two home starts he has given up nine earned runs in nine innings of work.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Betting Angles

The Astros have are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 15-7 in their last 22 home games against the Astros.

In the last 15 games between these teams the Over record is 11-4.

In the last 9 games between these teams in Boston the Over record is 7-2.

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This season the Red Sox are 48-33 at home and the Astros are 53-28 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Houston Astros: 103-61 SU / O/U 83-72 / Run Line W/L 87-77
Boston Red Sox: 93-71 SU / O/U 73-85 / Run Line W/L 86-78

Houston at Boston Key Betting Trends

  • HOU is 7-1 in their last 8 road games
  • HOU is 24-8 in their last 32 overall
  • HOU has an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 games
  •  
  • BOS is 1-5 in their last 6 overall
  • BOS is 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games
  • BOS has an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 games

Key Player Injuries

ASTROS

[P] 10/01/2017 - Brady Rodgers 60-day DL (08/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 10/01/2017 - David Paulino 60-day DL (10/01) ( Elbow )
[CF] 09/14/2017 - Jake Marisnick out indefinitely ( Thumb )
[P] 04/20/2017 - Jandel Gustave 60-day DL (04/19) ( Elbow )

RED SOX

(!)[RF] 10/07/2017 - Mookie Betts left last game, probable Sunday vs. Houston Astros ( Wrist )
[SS] 10/06/2017 - Eduardo Nunez out indefinitely ( Knee )
[2B] 07/31/2017 - Josh Rutledge 60-day DL (06/24) ( Concussion )
[P] 07/10/2017 - Robbie Ross 60-day DL (05/19) ( Elbow )
[SS] 05/28/2017 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )
[P] 05/28/2017 - Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox ADLS Game 3 Prediction

The Astros have a 2-0 lead in this playoff series and they have won the first two games by the score of 8-2. They have won three in a row and eight of their last nine games. Houston took three of four games from the Red Sox in Boston in the last series of the season and in them playing their last seven games against them they have only given up more than three runs once and that was in the lone loss. The Red Sox have their backs against the wall down 0-2 and they need to win this game. Their lineup has been struggling, as had their pitching being outscored 16-4 in the series. Peacock was pretty good to end the season and had a good outing in his last start, which was facing the Red Sox. On the other side of the coin Fister has not looked sharp in his last two home outings with his last coming against Houston. Peacock will have a decent outing in this game, but the Houston lineup will be the difference maker, as they will score many runs once again, take this game, and complete the series sweep heading to the ALCS.

Free Pick: 
Take the Astros -145
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