Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers Game 3 Odds - Free Pick

Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers Game 3 Odds - Free Pick

The Green Man
Date: October 18, 8:00 pm
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs -119 / Dodgers +109
Total: 6.5ov -105

<p>
It’s the 107-60 Chicago Cubs versus the 95-74 L.A. Dodgers in the 3rd game of the NLCS series in L.A., California tonight. The first pitch at Dodgers Stadium is scheduled for 8 PM ET.
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<p>
In Game 2 of this NLCS the Dodgers beat the Cubs 1-0. In the game L.A.’s Adrian Gonzalez hit a solo HR in the 2nd inning for the only scoring in the game and starter Clayton Kershaw went seven innings only giving up two hits to get the win.
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<p>
The Cubs had won two in a row before losing Game 2 of this series. Chicago ranks 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 1st in team ERA.
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<p>
The Dodgers have won three of their last four games and with the Game 2 win this series is tied at 1-1. They rank 14th in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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<p>
Chicago: Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA) Los Angeles: Rich Hill (12-5, 2.12 ERA)
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<p>
Jake Arrieta goes for the Cubs tonight and in his last outing in the NLDS he gave up two earned runs in six innings in a 6-5 loss to the San Francisco Giants. Chicago has lost three of his last four starts including his last two. Arrieta faced the Dodgers once this season and in the game in Chicago he had a great start going seven innings and not giving up any earned runs, but the bullpen let him down in a 5-0 loss. The Cubs are 36-15 in Arrieta’s last 51 road starts.
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<p>
Rich Hill gets the call for the Dodgers and in his last start in the NLDS he only lasted two innings giving up one earned run off three hits in a 4-3 win. He had two starts in the NLDS going 0-1 with a n ERA of 6.43 after giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. After coming to L.A. in a trade with the Oakland A’s Hill did not give up any earned runs in his first three starts, but in five starts since he has given up 12. Hill is 0-2 in three career starts in the playoffs. The Dodgers are 1-4 in Hills last 5 starts.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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<ul>
<li>
In the last 16 games between these teams the Under record is 13-3.
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<li>
This season the Cubs are 5-4 against the Dodgers.
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<li>
This season the Dodgers are 54-29 at home and the Cubs are 47-35 on the road.
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</ul>
<h3>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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<p>
Chicago Cubs: 107-60 SU / O/U 78-81 / Run Line W/L 90-78 L.A. Dodgers: 95-74 SU / O/U 75-86 / Run Line W/L 78-91
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<h3>
Chicago at L.A. Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
CHI is 19-6 in their last 26 games following a loss.
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<li>
CHI is 3-8 in their last 11 playoff road games.
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<li>
CHI has an Over record of 5-8 in their last 5 road games.
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<li>
LA is 45-17 in their last 62 home games.
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<li>
LA is 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
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<li>
LA has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.
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</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>CUBS </b><br />
[C] 04/08/2016 - Kyle Schwarber 60-day DL (4/8); out for season ( Knee )<br />
[P] 04/04/2016 - Dallas Beeler 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 04/04/2016 - Aaron Brooks 60-day DL (3/25) ( Hip )<br />
[3B] 04/04/2016 - Christian Villanueva 15-day DL (3/25) ( Fibula )<br />
[P] 03/31/2016 - Zac Rosscup 60-day DL (2/25) ( Shoulder )
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<p>
<b>DODGERS </b><br />
[P] 10/04/2016 - Adam Liberatore out for season ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 09/10/2016 - Carlos Frias 60-day DL (9/9) ( Oblique )<br />
[LF] 08/10/2016 - Scott Van Slyke 60-day DL (8/8) ( Wrist )<br />
[P] 07/21/2016 - Chris Hatcher 60-day DL (7/20) ( Oblique )<br />
[P] 07/19/2016 - Hyun-Jin Ryu 15-day DL (7/9) ( Elbow )<br />
[LF] 07/16/2016 - Trayce Thompson 60-day DL (7/10) ( Back )<br />
[P] 05/24/2016 - Chin-Hui Tsao 60-day DL (5/22) ( Tricep )<br />
[P] 04/23/2016 - Yimi Garcia 60-day DL (4/23) ( Bicep )
</p>

Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers Odds Prediction

While Hill was far from sharp in his first start of the playoffs he is a lefty and in the post-season the Cubs’ are only hitting .157 against lefties. Chicago had scored 14 combined runs in two playoff games before being dominated by Kershaw in the last game. The Dodgers have to feel good if they get a lead late, as reliever Kelly Jansen has 13 strikeouts in seven innings of work in the playoffs and he struck out four in two innings to get the save in Game 2. However, L.A. will not have the lead in this game facing Arrieta, as the last time he pitched at Dodgers Stadium he no hit them. In his last two starts he has gone 16 innings and not allowed a single earned run. Chicago will give Arrieta some run support tonight, he will not need much, and on the hill lead the Cubs to a win to take 2-1 series lead.

Free Pick: Take the Giants
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